cidercity1987 Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 Can't believe we have reached 129 posts on something that is almost impossible and less likely than aliens kidnapping us all tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Major Isewater Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 Just now, cidercity1987 said: Can't believe we have reached 129 posts on something that is almost impossible and less likely than aliens kidnapping us all tomorrow. Hang on , what's that strange light ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUSSEL85 Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 Just now, Major Isewater said: Hang on , what's that strange light ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Unan Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 We have to lose both with a -7 GD & Blackburn need to win both with a +7 GD to be equal with us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red Army 87 Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 Part of me thinks it could be better if Newcastle win on Friday. Brighton will have had their lead cut from 7 points to 1 point and would be under a bit of pressure in front of the tv cameras. We have a team of capable youngsters who would be feeling more relaxed now. If Brighton have already won the league by the time we play on Saturday they will be playing much more freely and could give us a hiding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
... Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 I am so confident we will stay up I will say something nice about Collis1 if we don't. I am THAT confident. tfj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tinman85 Posted April 25, 2017 Author Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 3 hours ago, Monkeh said: well if birmingham fail to win (but get a point) and we lose 4-0 they would still have to beat us 13-0 to stay up This is Bristol City. We never do it the easy way! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tinman85 Posted April 25, 2017 Author Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 Ok so we lose 4.0 to Brighton. Blackburn and Brum win. We could still go down if we lose to Brum and Blackburn win last game. I doubt it but I don't want to count my chickens. Brighton are electric at home and we are poor away. Let's hope results elsewhere help us out before. This season has been dire. Nothing would surprise me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elruliri Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 4 hours ago, Bat Fastard said: Then it would be sensible never to offer you anything Elrui - you never know when you might turn and "bite yer arm off"! Figure of speech lols. We're safe, until next season. But that's another thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redstart Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 As we dont kick off until all the other games that matter have finished we will know exactly what is/isn't required - pressure is on everybody else to get a result not us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Antman Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 On 24/04/2017 at 13:44, BigTone said: Good to see but this is BCFC and anything can still happen. Must own up to being very optimistic though. reminded me of the opening from 'Stingray' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnwilkinson Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 5 hours ago, Monkeh said: well if birmingham fail to win (but get a point) and we lose 4-0 they would still have to beat us 13-0 to stay up No,if they won 6-0 we would both be on -16 goal difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Touch_my_butter Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 We. Are. Safe. Virtually every bookie won't even accept bets on us, except some weirdo on Betfair Exchange that has us at 123/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reddoh Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 1 hour ago, Antman said: reminded me of the opening from 'Stingray' f me that took me back, Gerry Anderson must of been a city fan one character was called Marina Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
publandlord Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 Another way of loking at it all teams involved play 2 games There are 9 combinations of possible results ww, wd, wl, dw,dd,dl,lw,ld,ll for each team Lets assume any side level on points with us (apart from Birmingham) win by enough (and we lose by enough) so that they are ahead of us. So one combination (LL) for Bristol city could see us down and the same for Birmingham ( assuming no 10-0 freak results) and Blackburn (WW), there are 8 combinations that could see Burton finish ahead of us (all apart from LL) 8 for QPR, and 5 for forest (WW,WD,WL,DW,LW). the odds then can be calculated as 1*1*1*8*8*5 = 320 over 9*9*9*9*9*9 or 320/531441 or roughly 6 chances in 10000 or 1666/1. Just for interest you could bet that the results as at Saturday at 5pm would leave us needing something from our last 2 games. To do this you would need 18 lines to cover all the possible combinations and the lowest payout would be £95.92 for your 18 £1 lines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tangle Foot Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 On 24/04/2017 at 14:10, CotswoldRed said: Shame we capitulated to Preston as it would all be over now. Ifs and buts at every turn. If we had won 8 of the matches we lost, we would be on 75 pts, 1pt behind 6th place Fulham (with 2 games left to play). It's all ifs, buts & maybes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lanterne Rouge Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 6 hours ago, GoodridgeandGoater said: I'm with you in wanting to guard against complacency! At this time of the season strange things happen with out of form results often based on teams who need points finding a way of getting them against those with nothing to play for. I wouldn't be surprised to see Blackburn beat villa on Saturday. QPR v Forest will also be a very interesting game. But - for all those things to happen is one hell of an accumulator. Maybe we can relax just this once... Particularly since QPR`s last game is Norwich away - they won`t want to be needing something there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BobBobSuperBob Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 1 hour ago, Tangle Foot said: If we had won 8 of the matches we lost, we would be on 75 pts, 1pt behind 6th place Fulham (with 2 games left to play). It's all ifs, buts & maybes. If we'd won every game we'd be Champions If we lost every game we would have been relegated by February Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stephenkibby. Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 1 hour ago, publandlord said: Another way of loking at it all teams involved play 2 games There are 9 combinations of possible results ww, wd, wl, dw,dd,dl,lw,ld,ll for each team Lets assume any side level on points with us (apart from Birmingham) win by enough (and we lose by enough) so that they are ahead of us. So one combination (LL) for Bristol city could see us down and the same for Birmingham ( assuming no 10-0 freak results) and Blackburn (WW), there are 8 combinations that could see Burton finish ahead of us (all apart from LL) 8 for QPR, and 5 for forest (WW,WD,WL,DW,LW). the odds then can be calculated as 1*1*1*8*8*5 = 320 over 9*9*9*9*9*9 or 320/531441 or roughly 6 chances in 10000 or 1666/1. Just for interest you could bet that the results as at Saturday at 5pm would leave us needing something from our last 2 games. To do this you would need 18 lines to cover all the possible combinations and the lowest payout would be £95.92 for your 18 £1 lines After all your anallises landlord, there isnt a chance in hell that were going down. It's over were just watching what's going on. And there is an outside chanch we could poop the party!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BobBobSuperBob Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 Noticed this on Brums Forum From what I've heard on Facebook you can still purchase etickets in the home end with no booking history directly from bristols website for £16 Could be interesting ! @Mkelly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CotswoldRed Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 7 minutes ago, BobBobSuperBob said: Noticed this on Brums Forum From what I've heard on Facebook you can still purchase etickets in the home end with no booking history directly from bristols website for £16 Could be interesting ! @Mkelly Best have extra checks for stupid accents on the turnstiles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cov 77 Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 6 hours ago, tinman85 said: This is Bristol City. We never do it the easy way! The one thing I would say is that no one that it doesn't matter for seems to give a monkeys, Wolves for example who have put zero effort in to the last two games including Blackburn, and Villa ( at Blackburn ) and Huddersfield ( at Brum ) now have nothing immediate to play for Wagner has just basically said he will put out weakened sides for the last two games before the play offs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ashton_fan Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 2 hours ago, publandlord said: Another way of loking at it all teams involved play 2 games There are 9 combinations of possible results ww, wd, wl, dw,dd,dl,lw,ld,ll for each team Lets assume any side level on points with us (apart from Birmingham) win by enough (and we lose by enough) so that they are ahead of us. So one combination (LL) for Bristol city could see us down and the same for Birmingham ( assuming no 10-0 freak results) and Blackburn (WW), there are 8 combinations that could see Burton finish ahead of us (all apart from LL) 8 for QPR, and 5 for forest (WW,WD,WL,DW,LW). the odds then can be calculated as 1*1*1*8*8*5 = 320 over 9*9*9*9*9*9 or 320/531441 or roughly 6 chances in 10000 or 1666/1. Just for interest you could bet that the results as at Saturday at 5pm would leave us needing something from our last 2 games. To do this you would need 18 lines to cover all the possible combinations and the lowest payout would be £95.92 for your 18 £1 lines Did you take into account that QPR are playing Forest in one of the remaining matches, so they can't both win? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sleepy1968 Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 On 24/04/2017 at 14:05, WessexPest said: No, we're safe. Although I expect Villa to put in absolutely zero effort against Blackburn considering Birmingham plight. A Blackburn win in that one is a banker. I can see a Football League enquiry pencelled in already. A comedy gold moment in the making Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iamsober Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 22 hours ago, BobBobSuperBob said: If we have no keeper on the bench Saturday and Frankie gets sent off conceding a penalty in first minute , flowed by Flint and Korey for arguing and Villa have to field their U16s against Blackburn due to a vomiting bug through the whole club we could be a bit nervy going into the Brum game What world do you live in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tangle Foot Posted April 25, 2017 Report Share Posted April 25, 2017 2 hours ago, BobBobSuperBob said: If we'd won every game we'd be Champions If we lost every game we would have been relegated by February I think you missed the point of my post Bob Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WessexPest Posted April 26, 2017 Report Share Posted April 26, 2017 4 hours ago, CotswoldRed said: Best have extra checks for stupid accents on the turnstiles. I wonder if he has a YowTube account too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
publandlord Posted April 26, 2017 Report Share Posted April 26, 2017 8 hours ago, ashton_fan said: Did you take into account that QPR are playing Forest in one of the remaining matches, so they can't both win? yes I did, if Forest and QPR were in the same position as Blackburn and Birmingham (can only get ahead of us by winning both games) you would be correct however as a draw in this game together with a win for Forest in their other game would see them above us. 1 chance in 1666 is still pretty unlikely dont you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUSSEL85 Posted April 26, 2017 Report Share Posted April 26, 2017 2 hours ago, publandlord said: yes I did, if Forest and QPR were in the same position as Blackburn and Birmingham (can only get ahead of us by winning both games) you would be correct however as a draw in this game together with a win for Forest in their other game would see them above us. 1 chance in 1666 is still pretty unlikely dont you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cummins17 Posted April 29, 2017 Report Share Posted April 29, 2017 What a relief! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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