Stat Attack - Experimental361 Season Summary

[ExiledAjax]

6 minutes ago, BobBobSuperBob said:

 

When did football become this complicated !!!!

Doesnt a balance sheet and a league table do the same job !!

Not really. A league table and a balance sheet tell you what the situation is in the present, based upon a summary of the recent and relevant past.

These stats take the past, analyse it, and use that analysis to try to explain the state of the present and sometimes to predict the future.

[BCFC Rich]

5 hours ago, ExiledAjax said:

PS. Hopefully E361 does a "points lost from winning positions" chart.  He did one for L1...I suspect we may be near the top of that particular little table.

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1

Here is points lost from a winning position (from a different source)

#	Club		Times leading	Wins	Draws	Losses
1		Newcastle United	34	29	4	1
2		Brighton & Hove Albion	32	28	3	1
3		Reading FC	28	26	1	1
4		Sheffield Wednesday	30	24	4	2
5		Huddersfield Town	30	25	4	1
6		Fulham FC	31	22	7	2
7		Leeds United	26	22	3	1
8		Norwich City	29	20	7	2
9		Derby County	26	18	5	3
10		Brentford FC	25	18	2	5
11		Preston North End	22	16	5	1
12		Cardiff City	26	17	7	2
13		Aston Villa	27	16	9	2
14		Barnsley FC	25	15	5	5
15		Wolverhampton Wanderers	20	16	2	2
16		Ipswich Town	21	13	7	1
17		Bristol City	23	15	4	4
18		Queens Park Rangers	20	15	3	2
19		Birmingham City	21	13	5	3
20		Burton Albion	18	13	3	2
21		Nottingham Forest	25	14	6	5
22		Blackburn Rovers	19	12	6	1
23		Wigan Athletic	16	10	2	4
24		Rotherham United	18	5	7	6

[BCFC Rich]

And then points after going behind. (source)

 

#	Club		deficits	Wins	Draws	Losses	Points
1		Fulham FC	26	6	10	10	28
2		Cardiff City	26	6	2	18	20
3		Blackburn Rovers	31	3	9	19	18
4		Bristol City	31	4	5	22	17
5		Nottingham Forest	31	4	4	23	16
6		Sheffield Wednesday	20	4	3	13	15
7		Brighton & Hove Albion	17	3	5	9	14
8		Preston North End	26	2	8	16	14
9		Reading FC	20	3	4	13	13
10		Barnsley FC	25	3	4	18	13
11		Wolverhampton Wanderers	27	3	4	20	13
12		Huddersfield Town	20	3	2	15	11
13		Derby County	22	2	5	15	11
14		Brentford FC	25	2	5	18	11
15		Burton Albion	27	1	6	20	9
16		Wigan Athletic	29	2	3	24	9
17		Newcastle United	14	2	2	10	8
18		Leeds United	21	1	5	15	8
19		Ipswich Town	23	1	5	17	8
20		Birmingham City	25	1	5	19	8
21		Norwich City	21	1	4	16	7
22		Aston Villa	21	1	4	16	7
23		Queens Park Rangers	28	1	4	23	7
24		Rotherham United	36	0	3	33	3

 

 

[ExiledAjax]

@RichardEdd Interesting, I didn't realise transkermarkt tracked this stuff.  So we lost 4 times out of 23 leads (joint 3rd worst).  Plus we only gained 17 points back after going behind (4th worst).  I suspect these stats are skewed by a few late losses and draws.  However, it does show that we were proved fragile throughout the season.  E361 plays around with this sort of stuff so it'll be interesting to see if he does something.

 

[View from the Dolman]

Just now, ExiledAjax said:

Plus we only gained 17 points back after going behind (4th worst).

4th best surely?

[ExiledAjax]

@RichardEdd @View from the Dolman - sorry if you guys aren't interested - but E361 delivered.  Below are his tables for points won from winning positions and points won from losing positions.  Long story short: we were pretty crap at closing games out, but actually weren't that bad at salvaging something from a losing position.

Taking only 71% of the possible points from winning positions put us in the bottom third of that table.  Successful teams are looking at 80% plus (although note QPR and Wolves being outliers in that).

Anyway, interesting tables that contextualise the raw data that @RichardEdd found on transfermarkt.