Bainsey Posted April 10, 2019 Report Share Posted April 10, 2019 I reckon 73 points could do it. Need to aim for more though obviously. 75+ if possible! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Major Isewater Posted April 10, 2019 Report Share Posted April 10, 2019 13 minutes ago, JBFC II said: Let's aim for 18, we should t just be looking at 6th now imo I like the fact that LJ spoke of trying to catch WBA instead of looking down . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kid in the Riot Posted April 10, 2019 Report Share Posted April 10, 2019 4 hours ago, Undy English said: I honestly don't think Derby will challenge us - after last night's shock loss they will drop off. I wouldn't be so quick to rule them out given they play Bolton at home on Saturday so could quite conceivably be back to within 2 or 3 points of us with 5 games still to play. Their run-in is pretty decent on paper too. That said they've been in poor form for a couple of months now, not winning enough games so it is possible that their season may just fizzle out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Major Isewater Posted April 10, 2019 Report Share Posted April 10, 2019 45 minutes ago, Kid in the Riot said: I wouldn't be so quick to rule them out given they play Bolton at home on Saturday so could quite conceivably be back to within 2 or 3 points of us with 5 games still to play. Their run-in is pretty decent on paper too. That said they've been in poor form for a couple of months now, not winning enough games so it is possible that their season may just fizzle out. Like every season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bcfccity Posted April 10, 2019 Report Share Posted April 10, 2019 Love reading all this makes it so much easier to explain to the Mrs when I can show her all the projections! thanks everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozo Posted April 10, 2019 Report Share Posted April 10, 2019 6 hours ago, TomF said: Let's just concentrate on the next game. Nah, lets speculate wildly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozo Posted April 10, 2019 Report Share Posted April 10, 2019 6 hours ago, chowie said: 2 Wins and 2 Draws could well be enough now. Which would be 73 points, that could still get us 6th with remaining form like the below: Aston Villa - W3 D2 L1 = 74pts City - W2 D2 L2 = 73pts -------------------------------------------------------- Derby - W3 D3 L0 = 72pts Middlesbrough - W3 D2 L0 = 72pts PNE - W3 D2 L0 = 68pts Forest - W3 D1 L1 = 67pts Sheff Wed - W2 D1 L2 = 66pts Getting a point v Derby would be crucial. Well you're giving Derby and Boro 2pts per game there which is promotion form in normal circumstances. Surely they both have another defeat in them? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chowie Posted April 10, 2019 Report Share Posted April 10, 2019 1 hour ago, mozo said: Well you're giving Derby and Boro 2pts per game there which is promotion form in normal circumstances. Surely they both have another defeat in them? Exactly, was just highlighting decent form from others and not so great from us could still return us a Playoff place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin phantom Posted April 11, 2019 Admin Report Share Posted April 11, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlastonburyRed Posted April 11, 2019 Report Share Posted April 11, 2019 We are gonna get in the playoffs no problems, more significant question is which playoff position... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozo Posted April 11, 2019 Report Share Posted April 11, 2019 16 hours ago, chowie said: Exactly, was just highlighting decent form from others and not so great from us could still return us a Playoff place. Yeah it was a good post. And I guess we have to accept that if either Derby or Boro can finish the season with promotion form, they will deserve a play off spot. My concern is that based on Saturdays fixtures you would expect Derby to close the gap on us, but who ruddy knows this season?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Loderingo Posted April 12, 2019 Report Share Posted April 12, 2019 I thought it would be a good time to revisit how the Championship sides are doing. Again starting at the bottom… 24th – Ipswich (27 points, 1 game less, max possible points 42) – Doomed. 4 wins all season tells its own story. While they have some fight they have completely lacked any quality. The last time Ipswich were in the 3rd tier was 1956-7 so it will be a real culture shock for them. 23rd – Bolton (32 points, 1 game less, max possible points 47) – Despite the odd surprise win it would be a major shock if Bolton didn’t go down. Their off the field problems continue and it wouldn’t be a surprise if they end up in administration, which would mean starting with a points deduction in League One. 22nd – Rotherham (39 points, 1 game less, max possible points 54) – They have seen a slight improvement in form but are still in the mire due to the fact Reading have also improved. Their biggest problem is their terrible defence, which has now conceded 70 goals (the division’s worst) 21st – Wigan (41 points, 1 game less, max possible points 56) – Started the season strongly before falling away. They’ve now been dragged into the relegation fight. A late equaliser against us, only gave them their 7th point away from home 20th – Reading (41 points, 1 game less, max possible points 56) – Not out of trouble yet but have battled hard from a poor position. 17 points from their last 12 games gives them a good chance of staying up. They should still be doing a lot better. 19th – Millwall (41 points, max possible points 59) – Had a terrible start but have clawed their way out of it a bit. Their FA cup run seems to have hindered rather than helped them. Their next 2 home fixtures are against Brentford and Stoke and they need to win at least one of them. 18th - QPR (45 points, 1 game less, max possible points 60) – A topsy-turvy season. 4 defeats in a row, followed by a run to the edge of the playoffs, before a disastrous run saw McClaren sacked. Should be OK but one more win would confirm. Have finally resolved their FFP case with a fine and embargo so can start next season with a clean slate. 17th – Birmingham (45 points, 1 game less, max possible points 60) – FFP finally caught up with them with a 9 point deduction that has put them on the fringe of the relegation battle. Should be fine but one more win would make sure. May also get punished next season. 16th - Blackburn (50 points, 1 game less, max possible points 65) – I think pre-season their fans would have taken this as a first season back in the division. That said 2 wins in 12 has seen them fall into the bottom half when they looked good for a top half finish for a long time 15th – Stoke (51 points, 1 game less, max possible points 66) – Will be playing Championship football next year. Started poorly and kept expecting them to push on but it hasn’t happened. They sacked Rowett but the managerial change hasn’t helped. 18 draws out of 41 games 14th - Brentford (54 points, 1 game less, max possible points 69) – Will be playing Championship football next year. Have had a Bristol City season! 2 reasonable runs of form have bookended a horrible losing run after Dean Smith left. Can hope for better next term. 13th – Swansea (56 points, 1 game less, max possible points 74) – Have been solidly mid-table all season without really looking like challenging. Sold rather than bought in the window. Have a theoretical shot at the playoffs due to their extra game but can’t see it happening. 12th – Preston (57 points, 1 game less, max possible points 72) – Had a terrible start but have pulled themselves up to mid table. On a good run but the playoffs are probably just out of reach 11th – Forest (57 points, 1 game less, max possible points 72) – Started strongly before a wobbly run saw Aitor Karanka given the boot. The return of Martin O’Neill was a dream homecoming but it hasn’t really clicked yet and they have been distinctly average. 10th - Wednesday (59 points, 1 game less, max possible points 74) - Appointing Steve Bruce has led to a real turnaround in form with 21 points from their last 12 games. Looks like the season will end too soon for them to make the playoffs but sets them up for next season. 9th – Hull (60 points, 1 game less, max possible points 75) - Rock bottom in October but then had a fabulous run to pull themselves into the top half. 20 points from their last 12 games. Unlikely to make the playoffs but a much better effort 8th – Derby (60 points, max possible points 78) – Spent most of the first half in the season in the top 6 but have been pretty average lately with 14 points from their last 12 games. Still in the mix with their game in hand but need to show better form. 7th – Boro (61 points, 1 game less, max possible points 76) – Looked nailed on for a playoff spot but have suffered a disastrous loss of form at the worst possible time with 5 defeats in a row before beating Bolton. Can’t be ruled out as they still have quality, and form can easily change in the Championship 6th – CITY (65 points, max possible points 83) – Had a little wobble but the international break came at the right time and we’ve shown we deserve a place in the top 6 by beating 3 of our rivals. 4 wins would guarantee a playoff spot (if we can beat Derby) but 3 might be enough. 5th – Villa (66 points, 1 game less, max possible points 81) – Were stuck in a malaise of draws but have pulled some form out of nowhere thanks to a tighter defence. A cynic might say Birmingham’s FFP punishment has spurred them on, with Villa also rumoured to be in trouble with FFP. 4th – West Brom (70 points, 1 game less, max possible points 85) – Look nailed on for a play off spot. Like Villa they have scored a lot and conceded a lot. Feel the Darren Moore sacking was harsh as they are doing much better than the other 2 relegated sides. 3rd – Sheff Utd (78 points, 1 game less, max possible points 93) – Have gone about their business very effectively and under the radar. Now in a head to head battle with Leeds for 2nd. Have slightly better form but one less point. 2nd – Leeds (79 points, 1 game less, max possible points 94) – Have been up there from day one. Had a little bit of a wobble following Spygate and have had the odd surprise defeat such as to QPR. The bookies make them very marginal favourites over Sheff U for 2nd spot. 1st – Norwich (85 points, 1 game less, max possible points 100) – Having a dream season with promotion looking almost nailed on, while Ipswich go the other way. Are finishing in style with 10 wins from their last 12 games. SUMMARY – Ipswich are doomed and Bolton will follow. Rotherham look most likely for the 3rd relegation spot. Norwich are winning the league at a canter but 2nd spot could go to the wire. City have a fantastic opportunity to make the playoffs with Derby probably being our biggest threat (game in hand and we have to play them). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
elhombrecito Posted April 12, 2019 Report Share Posted April 12, 2019 1 hour ago, Loderingo said: City have a fantastic opportunity to make the playoffs with Derby probably being our biggest threat (game in hand and we have to play them). We're on the same games as Derby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Davefevs Posted April 12, 2019 Report Share Posted April 12, 2019 On 11/04/2019 at 10:14, phantom said: If we assume top 3 is out....yeah I know, how negative!! So West Brom - 3 of their 5 games against challengers - Preston, Hull, Derby...so someone’s dropping points Villa - play us, but end with Leeds and Norwich! Derby - play us and West Brom Boro - play Hull - probably the best chance of sticking a run together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alessandro Posted April 12, 2019 Report Share Posted April 12, 2019 Boro’s the team I worry about. Could easily nick it from us if we lose a few key games and wins slip into draws. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Major Isewater Posted April 12, 2019 Report Share Posted April 12, 2019 36 minutes ago, Alessandro said: Boro’s the team I worry about. Could easily nick it from us if we lose a few key games and wins slip into draws. It’s in our hands. If we make it or not what a great position to be in . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Show Me The Money! Posted April 12, 2019 Report Share Posted April 12, 2019 1 hour ago, Major Isewater said: It’s in our hands. If we make it or not what a great position to be in . Indeed. I don't think anyone can argue it hasn't been on the whole a very good season considering where we were at the start having lost 3 of our then best players. I still can't help but look at our remaining fixtures and think we'll come up just short but a win on Saturday would change all that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozo Posted April 12, 2019 Report Share Posted April 12, 2019 2 hours ago, Alessandro said: Boro’s the team I worry about. Could easily nick it from us if we lose a few key games and wins slip into draws. I think the crunch games for Boro are Hull City at home this weekend, then Forest away on Easter Monday. Hull is a bit of a 6 pointer for them. If they lose, Hull nip ahead of them in the race. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
old_eastender Posted April 12, 2019 Report Share Posted April 12, 2019 I reckon 72 points will give us 6th, provided we don't lose to Derby. Could do with Boro v Hull being a draw tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bcfc01 Posted April 12, 2019 Report Share Posted April 12, 2019 5 hours ago, Major Isewater said: It’s in our hands. If we make it or not what a great position to be in . Yep - 4 points clear with a game in hand on Boro (plus 3 goals on goal difference) or 5 points clear of Derby (5 goals on goal difference). Its ours to chuck away - another 8 points should do it and it doesn't matter where/when they come from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin phantom Posted April 16, 2019 Admin Report Share Posted April 16, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozo Posted April 16, 2019 Report Share Posted April 16, 2019 I reckon 4 points from the next 2 games is a decent return. Then just hope Derby and Boro drop points in that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamesBCFC Posted April 16, 2019 Report Share Posted April 16, 2019 I think 73 points will do it for most of our rivals, 74 for us because of goal differences Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1960maaan Posted April 16, 2019 Report Share Posted April 16, 2019 10 hours ago, phantom said: One thing missing, I can't keep up otherwise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sticks 1969 Posted April 16, 2019 Report Share Posted April 16, 2019 11 hours ago, phantom said: Can see boro pipping us to 6 th spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Admin phantom Posted April 22, 2019 Admin Report Share Posted April 22, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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