daored Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Are we danger of being sucked into a relegation fight as things stand ? Two fixtures in January, Wigan (a), Barnsley (h). We’re currently on 38 points and Wigan in 22nd position are on 23 points. Whilst 15 points in a big gap lose those two fixtures and the gap reduces. With this squad and the money spent on it , we shouldn’t be even considering this. But the way were playing, can we totally rule out a relegation fight as things stand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spoons Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Back to school Monday for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr Balls Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 19 minutes ago, daored said: Are we danger of being sucked into a relegation fight as things stand ? Two fixtures in January, Wigan (a), Barnsley (h). We’re currently on 38 points and Wigan in 22nd position are on 23 points. Whilst 15 points in a big gap lose those two fixtures and the gap reduces. With this squad and the money spent on it , we shouldn’t be even considering this. But the way were playing, can we totally rule out a relegation fight as things stand On current form, no we are not too good to not go down (sorry for the double negative). Look at the form table and it shows we are 22nd at the moment, with only Birmingham and Luton below us. 1 point per game until the end of the season should have us lower mid table, but turn this current run into an extended LJ poor streak and we could quickly see ourselves sinking further and further down the table and getting sucked into a relegation battle. Lose next week and we will be in the bottom half of the table... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stephenkibby. Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 20 minutes ago, daored said: Are we danger of being sucked into a relegation fight as things stand ? Two fixtures in January, Wigan (a), Barnsley (h). We’re currently on 38 points and Wigan in 22nd position are on 23 points. Whilst 15 points in a big gap lose those two fixtures and the gap reduces. With this squad and the money spent on it , we shouldn’t be even considering this. But the way were playing, can we totally rule out a relegation fight as things stand No to many points on the board at this stage. Saying that I can't see where the next win will come from, certainly don't fancy us at Wigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lez Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Horrible thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MelksRed Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 26 minutes ago, Spoons said: Back to school Monday for you. Sadly I'm not as confident as you that we may avoid a relegation battle. I genuinely cannot see where our goals (and subsequent wins) are going to come from. We lack creativity in the middle of the park, have a leaky defence and are pretty much toothless up front. I fear a perfect storm may be on the horizon. Hope I'm wrong and you are right! COYRs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spud55 Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 6 minutes ago, MelksRed said: Sadly I'm not as confident as you that we may avoid a relegation battle. I genuinely cannot see where our goals (and subsequent wins) are going to come from. We lack creativity in the middle of the park, have a leaky defence and are pretty much toothless up front. I fear a perfect storm may be on the horizon. Hope I'm wrong and you are right! COYRs We are well away from. The bottom 3 we are 15 points clear of Wigan, so we are in no danger of being dragged into a relegation battle, as not only would it require us to get even worse, it also requires far too many of the sides below us to pick up the sort of points you would expect from the top 2 sides. As I said in another thread I think by the end of Jan we will be closer to the bottom 6 than the top 6 I still don't this we will be anywhere near in danger of relegation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Squire Dastardly Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 The way things are, we are not absolutely safe. The received wisdom is that we need at least 50 points to feel safe and even that is not a guarantee. At present, we're on the balance point. We have 14 points fewer than the top 2 teams and 15 points more than a relegation spot. There is still work to be done and imo, on current form, only a new manager can probably do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harvey54 Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 A lot of football is dependant on momentum and confidence. At the moment we have neither. If we went on another of Junior's winless runs things could get messy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reddogkev Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Not a chance in Hell, squad is far too good, and I'd be gobsmacked if we don't make at least two real quality signings in this window. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pickle Rick Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 I suppose a relegation thread is warranted after a 1-1 in the cup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Robin101 Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 As poor as we’ve been, we are still in much better shape than the likes of Luton and Wigan. But anything lower than 12th would be absolutely disastrous with this squad (anything less than 6th disappointing). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Popodopolous Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 We're not going down I wouldn't have thought. Last season it was low 40's as the bar for survival so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Up The City! Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 I've heard it all now. The reaction to a draw in the cup is pathetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eardun Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 This thread sums up how ‘Private Frazer’ this forum is at times. We’re doomed, doomed! On the other hand, we just drew 1-1 in the FA cup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Peter O Hanraha-hanrahan Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 1 hour ago, daored said: Are we danger of being sucked into a relegation fight as things stand ? Two fixtures in January, Wigan (a), Barnsley (h). We’re currently on 38 points and Wigan in 22nd position are on 23 points. Whilst 15 points in a big gap lose those two fixtures and the gap reduces. With this squad and the money spent on it , we shouldn’t be even considering this. But the way were playing, can we totally rule out a relegation fight as things stand Undoubtedly we need to find some form from somewhere. 38 points isn’t enough to stay up however we’re still a long way from a relegation battle. Back in 2016/17 we were on 27 points and still over a month away from our next win at this point of the season. That was during LJs last disastrous run of games. People are slagging you off for this thread but it wasn’t that long ago that Charlton were above us and looking strong. We are currently 100/1 with Bet365 for the drop so if you fancy an insurance bet, I’d do it now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kit Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 It's probably a case of lose the next two league games and you start getting a little more concerned albeit its still highly unlikely. Win the next two and its laughable to have even been concerned. I think if we were where we are now a month or so ago then it would be very concerning but we are in a much better starting posotion than when we fell like a stone in johnsons first full season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alex_BCFC Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Need about 12 points to be guarantee safety and even that would be a fair few more than has been needed in last couple of years. Basically we will be safe unless we lose nearly every game so yes we are too good too go down this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fjmcity Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 2 hours ago, daored said: Are we danger of being sucked into a relegation fight as things stand ? Two fixtures in January, Wigan (a), Barnsley (h). We’re currently on 38 points and Wigan in 22nd position are on 23 points. Whilst 15 points in a big gap lose those two fixtures and the gap reduces. With this squad and the money spent on it , we shouldn’t be even considering this. But the way were playing, can we totally rule out a relegation fight as things stand hahahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bar BS3 Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 I’m pretty sure that at least 13 other clubs are more concerned about a relegation battle than us at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daored Posted January 4, 2020 Author Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 38 minutes ago, Peter O Hanraha-hanrahan said: Undoubtedly we need to find some form from somewhere. 38 points isn’t enough to stay up however we’re still a long way from a relegation battle. Back in 2016/17 we were on 27 points and still over a month away from our next win at this point of the season. That was during LJs last disastrous run of games. People are slagging you off for this thread but it wasn’t that long ago that Charlton were above us and looking strong. We are currently 100/1 with Bet365 for the drop so if you fancy an insurance bet, I’d do it now. @Spoons & @Fjmcity clearly have no concerns about us being dragged into a relegation scrap. However, based on our current form and playing two teams in the bottom three the two will reduce if we were to lose. I don’t think we will go down , but based on current results and more importantly performances, can we discount it ? @Spoons inservice day on Monday x Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeAman08 Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Too good to go down? No Too many points already on the board to go down? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarcusX Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 2 hours ago, daored said: Are we danger of being sucked into a relegation fight as things stand ? Two fixtures in January, Wigan (a), Barnsley (h). We’re currently on 38 points and Wigan in 22nd position are on 23 points. Whilst 15 points in a big gap lose those two fixtures and the gap reduces. With this squad and the money spent on it , we shouldn’t be even considering this. But the way were playing, can we totally rule out a relegation fight as things stand The only point you had is in bold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cidered abroad Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 No team is ever too good to go down. Will we go down this season? No but I don't expect us to finish higher than 16th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
handsofclay Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 The title of this thread 'Too Good to Go Down' erroneously led me to think you were no longer going to punish your kids by taking them to the next home match as their behaviour had improved markedly since the threat was issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fjmcity Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, handsofclay said: The title of this thread 'Too Good to Go Down' erroneously led me to think you were no longer going to punish your kids by taking them to the next home match as their behaviour had improved markedly since the threat was issued. well do remember, we do deserve better, apparently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Peter O Hanraha-hanrahan Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 28 minutes ago, daored said: @Spoons & @Fjmcity clearly have no concerns about us being dragged into a relegation scrap. However, based on our current form and playing two teams in the bottom three the two will reduce if we were to lose. I don’t think we will go down , but based on current results and more importantly performances, can we discount it ? @Spoons inservice day on Monday x In 2016/17 when we had that awful run of 9 straight defeats we didn’t reach 38 points until the 11th March after beating Wigan away. At that point we were 4th from bottom. So yeah, we are a long way from that at the moment (effectively in terms of points in the board over 2 months ahead of our position the last season we were in a genuine relegation fight). In reality it would take a unbelievably bad run of games to find ourselves back in that position this season. Lee Johnson be like... “hold my pint”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lanterne Rouge Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 Four wins required from 21 games. We should be capable of that I hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppyDAZE Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 3 minutes ago, Lanterne Rouge said: Four wins required from 21 games. We should be capable of that I hope. Shit. Is it really four? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Red Posted January 4, 2020 Report Share Posted January 4, 2020 I know we've been crap recently, but going down would likely mean us winning no more than a couple of games between now and the end of the season. That's not happening, despite what some would have you believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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