Jump to content

Welcome to One Team in Bristol - Bristol City Forums

Welcome to One Team in Bristol - Bristol City Forums, like most online communities you must register to view or post in our community, but don't worry this is a simple free process that requires minimal information for you to signup. Be a part of One Team in Bristol - Bristol City Forums by signing in or creating an account.

  • Start new topics and reply to others
  • Full access to all forums (not all viewable as guest)
  • Subscribe to topics and forums to get email updates
  • Get your own profile page and make new friends
  • Send personal messages to other members.
  • Support OTIB with a premium membership

The Coronavirus and its impact on sport


Recommended Posts

3 hours ago, joe jordans teeth said:

I’m sure bcfc can look after himself but Christ you don’t half talk some tripe mate

Called having a bit of a dig back in response to his emoji. 

May well do, dare say you never post any at all of course

Edited by Mr Popodopolous
Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, bcfc01 said:

Why ?

WTF has it got to do with you ?

Don't bother answering - you get on with your pointless trolling, I can't be arsed with your type.

Bye Bye :sub:

Nothing  you just seem likely to get on your high horse about it. 

Cheerio... :subber:

Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, joe jordans teeth said:

Plenty but I’m not a angry man as you come across,life’s to short to be bitter 

Fair. 

I'll try and take things less seriously from here on in. Life's too short as you say and tbh food delivery yes that's an important role.

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, TomF said:

I expect she had an unknown underlying condition - quite often the case 

I suspect that the message of the article is, there is no certainty with Coronavirus and it has to be taken seriously (I've certainly changed my view as I've learned more and I'm not ashamed to say this).

We can continue to think that we don't fit in the 'at risk' bracket or accept that there will be outliers. Let's hope that the number of outliers is low and other families don't experience the loss of a loved one.

It's a bit like the belief that measles/chicken pox/mumps/etc. is harmless for healthy people, but tell that to those who have been severely affected by such conditions.

Edited by bcfcfinker
Link to post
Share on other sites

Well deaths today (25th) less than half the previous day 41 against 87 let's hope we have seen the worst if so this could turn out to be not as bad as was predicted even only a couple of days ago. I'm keeping my fingers and toes crossed.

  • Like 2
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, pillred said:

Well deaths today (25th) less than half the previous day 41 against 87 let's hope we have seen the worst if so this could turn out to be not as bad as was predicted even only a couple of days ago. I'm keeping my fingers and toes crossed.

A word of caution.

Todays jump in new cases is the highest so far, over 1400. Whilst we’re all hoping for the number of deaths to fall the sad likelihood is that the higher number of new cases today the more deaths there will be in 2 weeks time.

 

  • Thanks 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
6 hours ago, ChippenhamRed said:

Has a post ever aged worse?

He may be right; at present it's all speculation followed by assertion in the absence of decent data.

Actual cases and deaths at this stage are a tiny fraction of a normal winter's flu and the scary looking curves if plotted against that would be barely discernible.

The first point at which we get some decent data is with the roll out of the 2.5 million antibody testing kit to see how many in the wider population have had it.  There are claims that it has been around for over a year before it was identified; they may be wrong but this will be the first time those claims are tested.  Current testing is only identifying whether someone currently has the virus; if they have had it and recovered then it returns a negative.

If it turns out from those tests that half the population has had it and the death rate is 0.0001% then it's back to normal; if it's that a tiny number have had it and the death rate is 2% then it's keep the hatches battened down particularly for people with existing health problems for whom that 2% becomes a lot higher.

Governments generally are copying each other in their response though Sweden has taken the approach of carrying on as normal.  Either approach may be correct.

  • Like 6
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Eddie Hitler said:

If it turns out from those tests that half the population has had it and the death rate is 0.0001% then it's back to normal; if it's that a tiny number have had it and the death rate is 2% then it's keep the hatches battened down

This is a great post, the only thing I’d ask anyone in healthcare who posts on here would be, how does the number of admissions to Hospital since January for Pneumonia compare to a Winter/Spring period from every other year?

My suspicion, judging from what doctors themselves are saying, is that it’s much higher than usual which would suggest (maybe) that this has not been doing the rounds for that long and consequently the number of people who already have immunity is not that great at all.

 

  • Like 4
Link to post
Share on other sites

Hearing that NHS Nightingale will be fitted with 2 morgues. Very sad but it sounds more like a place to send those who will more than likely lose their life. 4000 beds to be fitted. I don’t think we’ve even scratched the surface yet in terms of deaths in this country.

Link to post
Share on other sites
4 hours ago, pillred said:

Well deaths today (25th) less than half the previous day 41 against 87 let's hope we have seen the worst if so this could turn out to be not as bad as was predicted even only a couple of days ago. I'm keeping my fingers and toes crossed.

Doubt you will hear that much on the media def not be headline news either....doom mongers rule ok.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, Redpool said:

Hearing that NHS Nightingale will be fitted with 2 morgues. Very sad but it sounds more like a place to send those who will more than likely lose their life. 4000 beds to be fitted. I don’t think we’ve even scratched the surface yet in terms of deaths in this country.

🥶 are you choosing to ignore the current 50% drop in deaths in the last 2 days? way from over but a tiny shaft of light maybe? or are we in fact doomed to a painfull death in a sea of loo roll.

Link to post
Share on other sites
11 minutes ago, glos old boy said:

🥶 are you choosing to ignore the current 50% drop in deaths in the last 2 days? way from over but a tiny shaft of light maybe? or are we in fact doomed to a painfull death in a sea of loo roll.

Most people who die from this disease do so at least 10 days - 2 weeks after they start showing symptoms. Yesterday showed the largest number of new cases in a day, which is concerning. Even if we’re only currently testing people who are so sick they're in hospital, that still suggests that the death rate will go up over the next 7 days.
Obviously we all hope for a quick drop in cases and deaths but it’s worth remaining realistic about where we are in this Pandemic.

  • Like 4
Link to post
Share on other sites
5 hours ago, pillred said:

Well deaths today (25th) less than half the previous day 41 against 87 let's hope we have seen the worst if so this could turn out to be not as bad as was predicted even only a couple of days ago. I'm keeping my fingers and toes crossed.

The number of deaths will ramp up over the next couple of weeks, not least because we will run out of ITU and hospital beds, and patients will be discharged early or possibly not even admitted depending on circumstances. Obviously we don't have the equipment, expertise or ability to act as quickly in primary care, so don't get your hopes up.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
19 hours ago, Vincent Vega said:

If you don't know, I honestly cant help you.

Oh okay. Shy away from actually explaining your position when someone calls you out on your baseless agenda. Cool.

Edited by Kykoliko
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, reddoc said:

The number of deaths will ramp up over the next couple of weeks, not least because we will run out of ITU and hospital beds, and patients will be discharged early or possibly not even admitted depending on circumstances. Obviously we don't have the equipment, expertise or ability to act as quickly in primary care, so don't get your hopes up.

Yep. The next week or so is when we'll see the impact of the morons treating last weekend as a Bank Holiday.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, reddoc said:

The number of deaths will ramp up over the next couple of weeks, not least because we will run out of ITU and hospital beds, and patients will be discharged early or possibly not even admitted depending on circumstances. Obviously we don't have the equipment, expertise or ability to act as quickly in primary care, so don't get your hopes up.

My mum works in the NHS at southmead hospital and their view is this will peak in three weeks , which is the Easter period. 
 

@NorthernRed I fear you may be right , about Easter weekend, especially if weather is nice 

Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Peter O Hanraha-hanrahan said:

Most people who die from this disease do so at least 10 days - 2 weeks after they start showing symptoms. Yesterday showed the largest number of new cases in a day, which is concerning. Even if we’re only currently testing people who are so sick they're in hospital, that still suggests that the death rate will go up over the next 7 days.
Obviously we all hope for a quick drop in cases and deaths but it’s worth remaining realistic about where we are in this Pandemic.

There are now a lot more being tested for the virus so the number of cases will also go up and you may be right in saying the mortality rate may go up as a result. Lets hope not.

The first real data we will get is from testing how many people have already had it (as many have said) which should be in the next week or two hopefully :fingerscrossed:

 

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

The situation is complicated to say the least. There are going to be many more cases than the official figure because testing has been restricted to the hospitalised cases for the past week or so. What we don’t know is whether 5% or 20% of cases are being hospitalised. If it’s the former then the likelihood is that there are a lot of people with relatively mild or no symptoms with the virus (Prince Charles) but if it’s the latter then the NHS will be overwhelmed very quickly. There are definitely more patients with respiratory problems being admitted to intensive care than usual, so if anyone still believes this is just like a bad flu winter, please junk that misconception.

The likelihood is that this will be somewhere between very bad and the NHS will just cope given the massive plans already being devised, or it will be truly apocalyptic and up to half a million will die. 

Until we get the serological (blood) testing to see how many already have antibodies we will remain dependent on modelling assumptions, which will range from the stupidly optimistic to the darkly pessimistic. Unfortunately you have to plan for the latter until proven otherwise.

On that basis, please try to stay at home, self isolate if you have symptoms, although in mild cases it can be hard to know if it really is anything or not, which is a problem in itself, and hopefully we can slow transmission for now. However, this isn’t going away if it’s own accord and until either there is an effective early treatment to stop people getting so sick as to need intensive care, a vaccine or herd immunity does reach a high enough level, then restrictions are likely to continue. I would suggest that is more likely to be months rather than a few weeks.

  • Like 7
  • Thanks 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, Redpool said:

Hearing that NHS Nightingale will be fitted with 2 morgues. Very sad but it sounds more like a place to send those who will more than likely lose their life. 4000 beds to be fitted. I don’t think we’ve even scratched the surface yet in terms of deaths in this country.

Yeah, the scale of it really brings home what is expected- apologies if this has been posted before:

 

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Just to lighten the mood....

 

Subject: WOMEN’S INSTITUTE EMAIL - Imagine Victoria Wood or Joyce Grenville saying this...

Buckshaw WI have issued the following guidance for isolation.

Right ladies, Judith Bickerstaffe has kindly emailed the crochet patterns for the face masks and matching underwear sets. Anyone who runs out of wool should message Delia who will leave fresh supplies in a vacuum sealed sandwich bag on your doorstep. She will knock the theme tune to Miami Vice on your door so you know it's her, you'll have to take pot luck on colours, but I do know there is a particularly lovely shade of burnt copper. Mavis has drawn up a rota for the Haz Mat suit and WW2 Gas Mask, it is one size fits all so please don't specify size requirements. If any of our less able members need provisions such as bread, milk, wine, Gin or pickled walnuts please contact Cynthia, who will pop to the shops for you providing her moped isn't being used by her grandson for pizza deliveries.

Laura will go ahead with her useful and inspirational talk on Christmas and other gifts made from j-cloths via Skype.

Currently we will have to abandon our collection of soft toys made from used hosiery, particularly after that unfortunate incident when Derek Malmsbury was found doing unspeakable things to the elephant made by his wife, Nora. I'm sure we all support Nora at this upsetting time. Apparently they WERE Derek's fishnets, which is why he was confused and why he wanted them back. Still that should never be done to a child's soft toy.

Connie is finishing off the template for making an emergency face mask and draft excluder from a spare bra. I know some members have raised concern that as Connie is a 46GG she has more material to work with than most, but she assures me her template will be scalable from 32 A upwards.

Audrey wants to apologize for the mix-up with the medication run, but please be rest assured Joan suffered no side effects from taking Marjorie Butterworth's husband Viagra and haliborange. And likewise Marjorie's husband seems to have responded really well to the HRT. Marjorie says they even agreed on the pattern for their new curtains.

Sad news because of the Government announcement, the trip to Leeds and 'Miss Fifi's Private Dungeon and Macrame club' has been postponed and at this moment we don't have a rescheduled date.

Great news: we have already started collecting prizes for the summer fayre raffle. It looks like the star prize this year may well be a pack of 9 Andrex Quilted Aloe Vera toilet rolls. Shortly followed by a complete set of knitted Nolan Sisters toilet roll covers. Mavis says any resemblance between Colleen and Anne Widdecombe is purely coincidental.

Right Ladies I must dash, I hear Booths has just had a fresh delivery of tinned prunes.

  • Like 2
  • Haha 3
Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Kykoliko said:

Oh okay. Shy away from actually explaining your position when someone calls you out on your baseless agenda. Cool.

Or can't be bothered to explain myself to brain dead idiots. Try googling wet markets of China, or maybe read the book published in 2011 predicting this exact thing and how it would start. But yeah a baseless agenda you absolute belter. Now toddle off and bury your head .

Link to post
Share on other sites
4 hours ago, Eddie Hitler said:

He may be right; at present it's all speculation followed by assertion in the absence of decent data.

Actual cases and deaths at this stage are a tiny fraction of a normal winter's flu and the scary looking curves if plotted against that would be barely discernible.

The first point at which we get some decent data is with the roll out of the 2.5 million antibody testing kit to see how many in the wider population have had it.  There are claims that it has been around for over a year before it was identified; they may be wrong but this will be the first time those claims are tested.  Current testing is only identifying whether someone currently has the virus; if they have had it and recovered then it returns a negative.

If it turns out from those tests that half the population has had it and the death rate is 0.0001% then it's back to normal; if it's that a tiny number have had it and the death rate is 2% then it's keep the hatches battened down particularly for people with existing health problems for whom that 2% becomes a lot higher.

Governments generally are copying each other in their response though Sweden has taken the approach of carrying on as normal.  Either approach may be correct.

I think it's extraordinarily unlikely it's been around for a year given how contagious it is and the number of people it is putting in hospitals. Firstly, the health service would have noticed the impact of it (as health services now are all around the world) and secondly, people hospitalised with things like pneumonia are tested for the type of virus/infection they have and so if it was a new virus it would have been discovered as soon as the first person was hospitalised and tested. 

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...