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How many screwed up seasons are we due?


Sweeneys Penalties

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3 hours ago, Sweeneys Penalties said:

How many screwed up seasons are we due? Covid 19 bit this one, it may bite next season too. The World Cup in 2022 starts in November.....when will we ever see a normal season again?

The bigger squads with depth will benefit next season. More midweek games so they can finish on time.

Vital to add heads and keep squad players like Rowe etc

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2 hours ago, Pezo said:

I think next season will be impacted over winter as there will be another spike.

Following that we should have pretty good herd immunity and things can get back to normal. 

The second wave would have to be more of a tsunami for there to be herd immunity. Currently only 10% of the population at most has antibodies and even then we don’t know whether or not that equates to longer term immunity. Vaccination is the only way that we will achieve the levels necessary, without many thousands of more deaths.

 

48 minutes ago, ExiledAjax said:

Honestly? 2023/24 should be ok.

Seems about right. And who knows what league we will be playing in by then!

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1 hour ago, Dr Balls said:

The second wave would have to be more of a tsunami for there to be herd immunity. Currently only 10% of the population at most has antibodies and even then we don’t know whether or not that equates to longer term immunity. Vaccination is the only way that we will achieve the levels necessary, without many thousands of more deaths.

 

Seems about right. And who knows what league we will be playing in by then!

T Cells are key. However, yes. I don't think herd immunity is even a thing minus a vaccination. Who knows. 2023/24 should be the usual. 20/21 will be effected hugely no doubt. 21/22 might be normal. 22/23 season will be effected by the world cup. 

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10 hours ago, Pezo said:

I think next season will be impacted over winter as there will be another spike.

Following that we should have pretty good herd immunity and things can get back to normal. 

Entrance to the South Stand. Thats me 4th from the back on the right !

herd of shhep.jpeg

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The aviation industry is projecting a 3 year prolapse and a reestablishment afterwards at 80% of precovid levels. I would expect football to be similarly affected. Until there’s a vaccine we won’t see gates above 30%. Once the vaccine is fully circulated (probs 1 yr after market entry) we go back but who knows what the new norm will be

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18 hours ago, Dr Balls said:

The second wave would have to be more of a tsunami for there to be herd immunity. Currently only 10% of the population at most has antibodies and even then we don’t know whether or not that equates to longer term immunity. Vaccination is the only way that we will achieve the levels necessary, without many thousands of more deaths.

 

Seems about right. And who knows what league we will be playing in by then!

It doesn't quite work like that, due to to the fact we already have some immunity (the 10% you mentioned) then those people aren't going to get infected so rather than a 2 month extreme high its going to be more like 5 months with a shallower peak. They also know how to treat it much better now.

Yes there is uncertainty around long term immunity but if we're waiting for vaccination then you will likely be waiting for 5 years after they have found the vaccination until clinical trials are completed.

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45 minutes ago, Pezo said:

It doesn't quite work like that, due to to the fact we already have some immunity (the 10% you mentioned) then those people aren't going to get infected so rather than a 2 month extreme high its going to be more like 5 months with a shallower peak. They also know how to treat it much better now.

Yes there is uncertainty around long term immunity but if we're waiting for vaccination then you will likely be waiting for 5 years after they have found the vaccination until clinical trials are completed.

Just plain lies.

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