tunnie12345

4 minutes ago, Phileas Fogg said:

I don't necessarily trust China to report it accurately

considering the WHO have been in china for the last month or so saying that china's figures are accurate and new cases are dropping rapidly, i would be inclined to believe them!

11 hours ago, James54De said:

Yet they estimate that swine flu actually killed hundreds of thousands 

world wide yes... only 12k in the uk tho

Still similar to swine flu with the original worst case scenario at 1.3 million deaths then 500k the  last couple of weeks now were down to 100k worst case scenario.. Last year flu killed 22k so they are essentially saying that the worst case scenario is that it will be 4 times the amount of deaths this year than flu(that 100k figure also includes there predicted normal flu deaths by the way as well) ... While still not ideal it's hardly the dooms day scenario they portrayed... 

10 hours ago, havanatopia said:

Sturney and Red's links illustrate what we are already seeing which is most people recovering after a few days just like flu because it is a flu albeit a new strain. Even though we have an antidote for flu people still die in very large numbers and yet we do not panic do we. The percentages frankly are all over the place and this is very misleading. The fact is people will die of all kinds of things no more and no less harmful than Covid 19 so it is no more dangerous IF you are ordinarily healthy because it is not a killer. 

What whips this up is the media. If there is no story out there they will find one. They always do so they have something to ram home day in day out. Govt's are then forced to act or the population go mad. That's modern society for you.

Exactly this.... Remember only a couple of weeks ago when Caroline Flack had died? Coronavirus was barely mentioned for like a week, until people got bored of that story[ as harsh as it sounds].

Even the BBC lead with "Iran closes all schools and universities for a month" now while the fact is actually true. What they fail to mention until the last line of the story is that in fact after next Friday the schools are on holiday for 3 weeks anyway. Headline wouldn't quite sound as scary tho is they put "Iran lets kids break up a week early" does it!

4 hours ago, Super said:

Anybody not taking this seriously and thinking this will pass soon are very naive.

Trying to predict this is like the weather. you can predict so far into the future but there further you go the more it just becomes guess work as one small change could effect the outcome. People have all seem to become experts on this when the reality is nobody has a clue what will happen . expect the best but prepare for the worst is surely the best thing we can all do.

On 28/02/2020 at 18:03, pillred said:

 

The one I don't get is the 60% could get infected... China has peaked and it infected 0.0014 % of their population. Albeit with harsher measures to stop the spread. For 60 % to get infected everyone would need to be sneezing in there hands and then high fiving everyone they see! 

2 minutes ago, MarcusX said:

80% of the population  I think you’re being a bit dramatic.

some of the figures people come up with are laughable.. 80% will get it yet the WHO have stated it has peaked in China and it has infected a whopping 0.014% of China, so yea 80% seems like a realistic figure...

11 hours ago, The Bard said:

It's extremely contagious which suggests it won't go away until someone finds a vaccine for it. 

 

Is it tho? First case found on new years eve.. Incubation period of 14 days so most likely started mid December... Hubei was locked down on the 23rd of January.. That's nearly 40 days of it being around without anyone doing anything to stop it in an insanely densely populated area and it has effected less then 100k people...