How many points do we need?

[The Dolman Pragmatist]

Even though they have a relatively easy run-in, it would be surprising if Forest did any better in their last nine games than W7 D1 L1. This would give them a total of 86 points at the end of the season. We therefore need 87 to be sure of promotion, which means 19 points from our last 10 games. W6 D1 L4 would do it; or W5 D4 L1.

I actually think Forest won't quite manage that - W6 D2 L1 is more realistic, which would leave us needing 6 wins from 10, or 5 wins and 2 draws. If we win on Tuesday this is very possible, but with a tough few games coming up afterwards, we can't afford to slip up against Bradford City which, on paper, is one of our two banker victories (the other being Rotherham in the last game).

One plus is that holding Forest to a draw will probably be good enough on 31st March - a win would be a bonus. They will need to beat us though so won't be able to sit back, which usually suits us.

[Guest]

Don't rule Yeovil out of the run in - they have the same number of points as Forest and refuse to fall away....

[cidercity1987]

Don't rule Yeovil out of the run in - they have the same number of points as Forest and refuse to fall away....

I agree, there's been too much focus on Forest, almost forgetting about Yeovil and maybe even Oldham.

I reckon Yeovil will be our main challengers for automatic. They have 3 tough away games against Oldham, S****horpe and us but the rest of their games look very winnable. Having said that, 85 points should be enough to put us out of everyone else's reach.