... Posted September 29, 2011 Report Share Posted September 29, 2011 Exactly. Think of it like Bristol City versus ManUre. Bristol City 100 ManUre 1 is not very likely to happen (100/1). Bristol City 1 ManUre 4 is quite likely (1/4). I've just agreed with my building society to remortgage for another £100K - it's all going on Keith. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC_Red Posted September 29, 2011 Report Share Posted September 29, 2011 Exactly. Think of it like Bristol City versus ManUre. Bristol City 100 ManUre 1 is not very likely to happen (100/1). Bristol City 1 ManUre 4 is quite likely (1/4). Bristol City 5 Man U 4 (5\4)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chivs Posted September 29, 2011 Report Share Posted September 29, 2011 Bristol City 5 Man U 4 (5\4)? With our defence and attack, this is quite likely to happen. This explanation is foolproof I tell ya's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marshy Posted September 29, 2011 Report Share Posted September 29, 2011 Wish I understood odds. If anybody fancies TRYING to explain them to me I would be grateful! Try thinking of it like this. Odds of 3/1 mean 3 chances of it not happening and one chance that it happens. Add 1 to the 3 and divide this number into 100. This gives a probability of 100 divided by 4 which is 25%. For odds of 5/4 divide 5 by 4 which is 1.25 to 1. Add the 1 to the 1.25 to get 2.25 and divide this number into 100. 100 divided by 2.25 gives a probability of 44.4 %, obviously a much greater likelihood than the 25% given by 3 to 1. Hope that helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
II Wurzel II Posted September 29, 2011 Author Report Share Posted September 29, 2011 Try thinking of it like this. Odds of 3/1 mean 3 chances of it not happening and one chance that it happens. Add 1 to the 3 and divide this number into 100. This gives a probability of 100 divided by 4 which is 25%. For odds of 5/4 divide 5 by 4 which is 1.25 to 1. Add the 1 to the 1.25 to get 2.25 and divide this number into 100. 100 divided by 2.25 gives a probability of 44.4 %, obviously a much greater likelihood than the 25% given by 3 to 1. Hope that helps. What he said ^^^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slartibartfast Posted September 29, 2011 Report Share Posted September 29, 2011 Try thinking of it like this. Odds of 3/1 mean 3 chances of it not happening and one chance that it happens. Add 1 to the 3 and divide this number into 100. This gives a probability of 100 divided by 4 which is 25%. For odds of 5/4 divide 5 by 4 which is 1.25 to 1. Add the 1 to the 1.25 to get 2.25 and divide this number into 100. 100 divided by 2.25 gives a probability of 44.4 %, obviously a much greater likelihood than the 25% given by 3 to 1. Hope that helps. I understand odds, bet a lot, but you've even lost me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Mosquito Posted September 29, 2011 Report Share Posted September 29, 2011 Try thinking of it like this. Odds of 3/1 mean 3 chances of it not happening and one chance that it happens. Add 1 to the 3 and divide this number into 100. This gives a probability of 100 divided by 4 which is 25%. For odds of 5/4 divide 5 by 4 which is 1.25 to 1. Add the 1 to the 1.25 to get 2.25 and divide this number into 100. 100 divided by 2.25 gives a probability of 44.4 %, obviously a much greater likelihood than the 25% given by 3 to 1. Hope that helps. Blimey, you're clever. I'm still no wiser on how to outwit the bookies though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chivs Posted September 29, 2011 Report Share Posted September 29, 2011 Blimey, you're clever. I'm still no wiser on how to outwit the bookies though. Don't bet. Works every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downendcity Posted September 29, 2011 Report Share Posted September 29, 2011 Blimey, you're clever. I'm still no wiser on how to outwit the bookies though. Only way to outwit the bookies is not to gamble in the first place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC_Red Posted September 29, 2011 Report Share Posted September 29, 2011 Don't bet. Works every time. a tenner says it doesnt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bcfc3660 Posted September 29, 2011 Report Share Posted September 29, 2011 Try thinking of it like this. Odds of 3/1 mean 3 chances of it not happening and one chance that it happens. Add 1 to the 3 and divide this number into 100. This gives a probability of 100 divided by 4 which is 25%. For odds of 5/4 divide 5 by 4 which is 1.25 to 1. Add the 1 to the 1.25 to get 2.25 and divide this number into 100. 100 divided by 2.25 gives a probability of 44.4 %, obviously a much greater likelihood than the 25% given by 3 to 1. Hope that helps. Holy cow batman! I'm sure you are right. Recon if I read that a few more times it might make sense. Looks right impressive though! Thanks for the explanation though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
new_wave_red Posted September 29, 2011 Report Share Posted September 29, 2011 Guess who went to bet fred pre season and get 18/1 on millen being out by christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downendcity Posted September 29, 2011 Report Share Posted September 29, 2011 Guess who went to bet fred pre season and get 18/1 on millen being out by christmas Give up. Was it Mrs Millen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mendip City Posted September 29, 2011 Report Share Posted September 29, 2011 Guess who went to bet fred pre season and get 18/1 on millen being out by christmas To be first man sacked in this division? Those were great odds!!! Shame about Sean O'Driscoll though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reddoh Posted September 29, 2011 Report Share Posted September 29, 2011 To be first man sacked in this division? Those were great odds!!! Shame about Sean O'Driscoll though. did you read the post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mendip City Posted September 29, 2011 Report Share Posted September 29, 2011 did you read the post? Sorry - i will bin the cheap glasses!!! Those were ridiculous odds, congratulations on your windfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonboy Posted October 2, 2011 Report Share Posted October 2, 2011 Sky Bet Km now sole favourite at 4-6 on, McLaren 13-8 2nd favourite, 14-1 bar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
II Wurzel II Posted October 2, 2011 Author Report Share Posted October 2, 2011 Don't you just know whats going to happen, Forest get beat today and the fans voice there anger, McClaren does the right thing and walks away leaving us poor buggers fuming and Millen and out of pocket even more !! We can't do anything right can we Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kachina Posted October 2, 2011 Report Share Posted October 2, 2011 Keith Millen Next Championship Manager to Go: Next Manager to Go £200.00 £314.29 O/10902449/0000002 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slartibartfast Posted October 2, 2011 Report Share Posted October 2, 2011 Don't you just know whats going to happen, Forest get beat today and the fans voice there anger, McClaren does the right thing and walks away leaving us poor buggers fuming and Millen and out of pocket even more !! We can't do anything right can we Surely "walks" doesn't constitue a sacking, so bets still stand? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CiderArmyy Posted October 2, 2011 Report Share Posted October 2, 2011 is it important to sack before forest?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
II Wurzel II Posted October 2, 2011 Author Report Share Posted October 2, 2011 Surely "walks" doesn't constitue a sacking, so bets still stand? The actual bet is "1st manager to go" so it includes everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
II Wurzel II Posted October 2, 2011 Author Report Share Posted October 2, 2011 Got a feeling its going to be McClaren who goes before Millen now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brizzle Jordan Posted October 2, 2011 Report Share Posted October 2, 2011 Forest to take back Billy Davies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sampson City Reds Posted October 2, 2011 Report Share Posted October 2, 2011 I think everyone who put money on Millen going first may have done your money. I think Mclaren could be gone from Forest every soon!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SC_Red Posted October 2, 2011 Report Share Posted October 2, 2011 Martin O'neill would be a good fit for them. yep. Roy keane probably more likely though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dziekanowski Posted October 2, 2011 Report Share Posted October 2, 2011 yep. Roy keane probably more likely though or dave jones? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
myol'man Posted October 2, 2011 Report Share Posted October 2, 2011 In a move that took place about six years too late, Millen has been fired. Random quote from NFL ! http://www.profootball101.com/featured-stories/matt-millen-out/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
II Wurzel II Posted October 2, 2011 Author Report Share Posted October 2, 2011 Don't you just know whats going to happen, Forest get beat today and the fans voice there anger, McClaren does the right thing and walks away leaving us poor buggers fuming and Millen and out of pocket even more !! We can't do anything right can we Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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