Tending to agree.
The interesting thing will obviously be how much money Manning is given. The players are clearly not there for top 6, regardless of what JL/BT/anyone else says. The nest egg comments NOW imply that as we've got the FFP under control that there will be plenty of cash available to go all out in January, Manning will have the next 2 months to get an impression of the team and have a recruitment strategy in place to present to BT. Why sack Pearson now otherwise? We make a big deal of them being dense but there's a difference between being a little incompetent and outright stupid.
Doubt Tinnion has the perceived power he does come mid-Dec, doubt the "academy is king" holds by Jan.
If the betting markets were offering it I'd have plenty of money on us spending big in January.