B-Rizzle Posted January 27, 2011 Report Share Posted January 27, 2011 Just had a look at the past few seasons and how many points you needed in that year to stay up... 07/08 - 22nd - Leicester relegated with 52 points 08/09 - 22nd - Norwivh relegated with 46 points 09/10 - 22nd - Sheff Weds relegated with 47 points This season. Got 32 points with 18 games to play. 50 points is approx the minimum we'd need to stay up. That's 6 wins. Do-able???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigTone Posted January 27, 2011 Report Share Posted January 27, 2011 Just had a look at the past few seasons and how many points you needed in that year to stay up... 07/08 - 22nd - Leicester relegated with 52 points 08/09 - 22nd - Norwivh relegated with 46 points 09/10 - 22nd - Sheff Weds relegated with 47 points This season. Got 32 points with 18 games to play. 50 points is approx the minimum we'd need to stay up. That's 6 wins. Do-able???? Yes, very possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matty-H Posted January 27, 2011 Report Share Posted January 27, 2011 I'm sure we will stay up, not least because there are at least 4 teams inferior to us in my opinion. We'll end the season about where we are right now, and that's with or without any new signings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nogbad the Bad Posted January 27, 2011 Report Share Posted January 27, 2011 I've always said it will be a scrap to the end but we will just about stay up. It does depend though how teams below us strengthen and whether the reality of facing relegation makes some of them pick up form. I'm not convinced about the fight in our squad should it come to the crunch or how the manager will respond if the pressure is really on. At the moment we can't score goals ( a big draw back) and some of our recent performances would mark us down as one of the worst teams in the division and definitely candidates for relegation. The hope is we will pull out another Cardiff type performance from somewhere and our confidence will rise enough from there to go on a run to put our worries behind us. No sign of that at the moment though, hopefully a couple of new signings and the return of Maynard will make the difference. We desperately need that morale boosting victory with a few goals thrown in but looking at the fixtures, and our current squad, it's going to be a very pleasant surprise if it comes in the near future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rizzle Posted January 27, 2011 Author Report Share Posted January 27, 2011 At the moment we wonder where the next goal or next win will come from. But we all know football. This time last year when were on a bad run we ended up beating west brom and nearly beating newcastle. That came out of the blue as could a win against swansea or leeds or any of the other tough games we've got. Things can change very quickly in football and as city fans we've all experienced that MANY times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
One Team In Keynsham Posted January 27, 2011 Report Share Posted January 27, 2011 Just had a look at the past few seasons and how many points you needed in that year to stay up... 07/08 - 22nd - Leicester relegated with 52 points 08/09 - 22nd - Norwivh relegated with 46 points 09/10 - 22nd - Sheff Weds relegated with 47 points This season. Got 32 points with 18 games to play. 50 points is approx the minimum we'd need to stay up. That's 6 wins. Do-able???? Bored at work so looked back before 2007 to when football was invented in 1992..... 2006/7 21. Hull City 46 8 3 12 33 32 5 7 11 18 35 -16 49 22. SOUTHEND UNITED 46 6 6 11 29 38 4 6 13 18 42 -33 42 2005/6 21. Queens Park Rangers 46 7 7 9 24 26 5 7 11 26 39 -15 50 22. CREWE ALEXANDRA 46 7 7 9 38 40 2 8 13 19 46 -29 42 2004/5 21. Crewe Alexandra 46 6 8 9 37 38 6 6 11 29 48 -20 50 22. GILLINGHAM 46 10 6 7 22 23 2 8 13 23 43 -21 50 2003/4 21. Gillingham 46 10 1 12 28 34 4 8 11 20 33 -19 51 22. WALSALL 46 8 7 8 29 31 5 5 13 16 34 -20 51 2002/3 21. Stoke City 46 9 6 8 25 25 3 8 12 20 44 -24 50 22. SHEFFIELD WEDSNESDAY 46 7 7 9 29 32 3 9 11 27 41 -17 46 2001/2 21. Rotherham United 46 7 13 3 32 29 3 6 14 20 37 -14 49 22. CREWE ALEXANDRA 46 8 8 7 23 32 4 5 14 24 44 -29 49 2000/1 21. Crystal Palace 46 6 6 11 28 34 6 7 10 29 36 -13 49 22. HUDDERSFIELD TOWN 46 7 6 10 29 26 4 9 10 19 31 -9 48 1999/2000 21. West Bromwich Albion 46 6 11 6 25 26 4 8 11 18 34 49 22. WALSALL 46 7 6 10 26 34 4 7 12 26 43 46 1998/9 21. Port Vale 46 10 3 10 22 28 3 5 15 23 47 47 22. BURY 46 9 7 7 24 27 1 10 12 11 33 47 23. OXFORD UNITED 46 7 8 8 31 30 3 6 14 17 41 44 24. BRISTOL CITY 46 7 8 8 35 36 2 7 14 22 44 42 1997/8 21. Queens Park Rangers 46 8 9 6 28 21 2 10 11 23 42 49 22. MANCHESTER CITY 46 6 6 11 28 26 6 6 11 28 31 48 1996/7 21. Bradford City 46 10 5 8 29 32 2 7 14 18 40 48 22. GRIMSBY TOWN 46 7 7 9 31 34 4 6 13 28 47 46 1995/6 21 Portsmouth 46 8 6 9 34 32 5 7 11 27 37 61 0 52 22 MILLWALL 46 7 6 10 23 28 6 7 10 20 35 43 0 52 1994/5 21. SWINDON TOWN 46 9 6 8 28 27 3 6 14 26 46 48 22. BURNLEY 46 8 7 8 36 33 3 6 14 13 41 46 23. BRISTOL CITY 46 8 8 7 26 28 3 4 16 16 35 45 24. NOTTS COUNTY 46 7 8 8 26 28 2 5 16 19 38 40 1993/4 21. West Bromwich Albion 46 9 7 7 38 31 4 5 14 22 38 51 22. BIRMINGHAM CITY 46 9 7 7 28 29 4 5 14 24 40 51 1992/3 21. Sunderland 46 9 6 8 34 28 4 5 14 16 36 50 22. BRENTFORD 46 7 6 10 28 30 6 4 13 24 41 49 23. CAMBRIDGE UNITED 46 8 6 9 29 32 3 10 10 19 37 49 24. BRISTOL ROVERS 46 6 6 11 30 42 4 5 14 25 45 41 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arpaul Posted January 27, 2011 Report Share Posted January 27, 2011 Yes, very possible I am sat looking at our remaining 18 fixtures, and with our current form in mind, and even with my red tinted glasses on, I can't see where the required wins are coming from. Maybe PNE (A), S****horpe (H) ? Coventry, Portsmouth, Doncaster, Ipswich Sheffield Utd and Derby are all struggling with form, as we are, but I still can't see an additional 4 wins against these teams to go with PNE and S****horpe. As I said on a previous thread, 6, or probably 7, wins from eighteen games is a tough call when you are struggling..........Especially when we've only won EIGHT from 28!!! I sincerely hope bigtone59 is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matty-H Posted January 27, 2011 Report Share Posted January 27, 2011 The bottom line is that as long as we outperform, in terms of points, at least 3 of the teams below us between now and the end of the season then we will stay up. The 6 wins thing may look tough, but it's even tougher for those below us. We'll stay up. Just Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
craigBCFC Posted January 27, 2011 Report Share Posted January 27, 2011 The bottom line is that as long as we outperform, in terms of points, at least 3 of the teams below us between now and the end of the season then we will stay up. The 6 wins thing may look tough, but it's even tougher for those below us. We'll stay up. Just I honestly think when we have a few back from injury such as Maynard, Rose, Stead and McAlistair then our team is a completely proposition. Especially when the high tempo and work ethic is there we are a half decent side. Its when we start thinking we are brilliant is when it all comes un-done. Pitman is no good upfront without Stead, I think Maynard and Stead could be a great partnership and Rose's work rate on the left has definitely been missed. I think when it comes down to it we will pick up 5 or 6 wins and maybe 3 or 4 draws. Hopefully sooner rather than later! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Loderingo Posted January 27, 2011 Report Share Posted January 27, 2011 We don't need 6 wins. 4 wins and 6 draws would have the same result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nogbad the Bad Posted January 28, 2011 Report Share Posted January 28, 2011 I am sat looking at our remaining 18 fixtures, and with our current form in mind, and even with my red tinted glasses on, I can't see where the required wins are coming from. Maybe PNE (A), S****horpe (H) ? Coventry, Portsmouth, Doncaster, Ipswich Sheffield Utd and Derby are all struggling with form, as we are, but I still can't see an additional 4 wins against these teams to go with PNE and S****horpe. As I said on a previous thread, 6, or probably 7, wins from eighteen games is a tough call when you are struggling..........Especially when we've only won EIGHT from 28!!! We've got 9 home and 9 away still to play. We've got quite a few games most would almost write off now as likely defeats but fellow strugglers S****horpe, Ipswich, Portsmouth and Doncaster still have to visit AG and these are games our opponents shouldn't be looking forward to. All 6 pointers and all games we must obviously be looking to win. Likewise, we've still to face PNE, Sheff. Utd,, and Barnsley away. We've got the vital 6 point cushion so our fate remains completely within our own hands, however our opponents will see these fixtures as 6 pointers too and will be pumped up accordingly Can we depend on our players to match their fight and desire when each of these fixtures become crunch games? Or will their confidence just dissipate the moment we go behind? It's very difficult to be confident in the fighting spirit of our squad judging by many recent displays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chinapig Posted January 29, 2011 Report Share Posted January 29, 2011 We've got 9 home and 9 away still to play. We've got quite a few games most would almost write off now as likely defeats but fellow strugglers S****horpe, Ipswich, Portsmouth and Doncaster still have to visit AG and these are games our opponents shouldn't be looking forward to. All 6 pointers and all games we must obviously be looking to win. Likewise, we've still to face PNE, Sheff. Utd,, and Barnsley away. We've got the vital 6 point cushion so our fate remains completely within our own hands, however our opponents will see these fixtures as 6 pointers too and will be pumped up accordingly Can we depend on our players to match their fight and desire when each of these fixtures become crunch games? Or will their confidence just dissipate the moment we go behind? It's very difficult to be confident in the fighting spirit of our squad judging by many recent displays. What has happened so far suggests the players will be up for the games we are expected to lose but won't turn up for games against teams around us. I'm not holding my breath when it comes to fighting spirit; the players only have it when it suits them and Keith doesn't come across as a man who is likely to inspire it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.