Snufflelufagus Posted October 19, 2011 Posted October 19, 2011 Well for me we need approx 55 points give or take a couple. That to me equates to 11 homes wins out of 17, 4 away wins and 4 draws out of 17. To me survival very much depends on home form. Question is can we win 11 out of 17 at home?
Alex_BCFC Posted October 19, 2011 Posted October 19, 2011 Was closer to 45 last season. 50 is the magical mark.
Snufflelufagus Posted October 19, 2011 Author Posted October 19, 2011 Ok so one less home win. Still seems pretty tough. 2010-2010 we managed 10 wins at home, 2009-2010 10 wins at home, 2008-2009 we manged 7, 2007-2008 we managed 13.
The Casual Connoisseur Posted October 19, 2011 Posted October 19, 2011 Doooooooomed, we are all dooooomed!
Loderingo Posted October 19, 2011 Posted October 19, 2011 Well for me we need approx 55 points give or take a couple. That to me equates to 11 homes wins out of 17, 4 away wins and 4 draws out of 17. To me survival very much depends on home form. Question is can we win 11 out of 17 at home? Last year we had 6 points from 11 games and got to 60 points. This year we have 6 points from 12 games so it is possible. You forgot either home or away draws. Lets say Home 17 games to play - W7, D6, L4. Away 17 games to play W4, D6, L7 - that would give us 45 points plus 6 = 51 points. It's really not outrageous - solid mid-table form should be enough to just about stay up. Obviously we would like to do a bit better than that.
Snufflelufagus Posted October 19, 2011 Author Posted October 19, 2011 Last year we had 6 points from 11 games and got to 60 points. This year we have 6 points from 12 games so it is possible. You forgot either home or away draws. Lets say Home 17 games to play - W7, D6, L4. Away 17 games to play W4, D6, L7 - that would give us 45 points plus 6 = 51 points. It's really not outrageous - solid mid-table form should be enough to just about stay up. Obviously we would like to do a bit better than that. Lets hope so !
bearded_red Posted October 19, 2011 Posted October 19, 2011 52 is the standard amount I thought? Although didn't Leicester go down with 52 the season we got to the play-off final...
mark43 Posted October 19, 2011 Posted October 19, 2011 I'm not really keen on this thing of working out how many points are needed, and as somebody has said above we were almost in as bad a position last year. What we need now is to win a few games, get out of the relegation zone, and then take it from there (and hopefully then do at least marginally better for the rest of the season than the teams that are then below us)
NOTR Posted October 19, 2011 Posted October 19, 2011 What's an absolute must is victories over the teams around us,pick up a few unexpected wins and we should be safe.
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