Son of Fred Posted March 17, 2016 Report Share Posted March 17, 2016 This little lot... City v Bolton Fulham v Mk Dons Brentford v Blackburn City v Rotherham Brentford v Bolton Mk Dons vRotherham This will shake the tree....will be very enlightening . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Red Planet Posted March 17, 2016 Report Share Posted March 17, 2016 For some weeks now, I have been saying that we will stay up - probably by only three or four points. The brilliant second half performance at Fulham gave me confidence that LJ and this squad are determined to achieve survival. BUT, it's going to be a nerve jangling run-in, starting with Bolton at home who (by then) might be wanting to impress a new manager. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BCFC_Dan Posted March 17, 2016 Report Share Posted March 17, 2016 Probabilities from Experimental361 as of last weekend (before Blackburn lost on Tuesday): We're currently over 90% likely to stay up. Obviously that will change if the results don't go our way but I think we're really nearly there now. That said, I can't help feeling we won't get the necessary points from the Bolton and Rotherham games but we probably will pick them up from other fixtures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MigratedRobin Posted March 17, 2016 Report Share Posted March 17, 2016 We really have to beat Rotherham! That game is like a 12 pointer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Major Isewater Posted March 17, 2016 Report Share Posted March 17, 2016 3 minutes ago, MigratedRobin said: We really have to beat Rotherham! That game is like a 12 pointer. I would say more of an 18 pointer . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Red Hat Posted March 17, 2016 Report Share Posted March 17, 2016 2 minutes ago, Major Isewater said: I would say more of an 18 pointer . Bagsy me say 19. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedLionLad Posted March 17, 2016 Report Share Posted March 17, 2016 1 minute ago, Roger Red Hat said: Bagsy me say 19. I'll plump for 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
reddogkev Posted March 17, 2016 Report Share Posted March 17, 2016 2 minutes ago, Major Isewater said: I would say more of an 18 pointer . So if we win it, we've still got a bloody decent shout of the play offs. Rotherham might go onto scoop automatic promotion if they do the double over us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vincent Vega Posted March 17, 2016 Report Share Posted March 17, 2016 Just now, Roger Red Hat said: Bagsy me say 19. I wanted 19..! Not playing if your having it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedLionLad Posted March 17, 2016 Report Share Posted March 17, 2016 1 minute ago, Doozerchris said: I wanted 19..! Not playing if your having it. Go halves ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vincent Vega Posted March 17, 2016 Report Share Posted March 17, 2016 Just now, RedLionLad said: Go halves ! I want 1st half then.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedLionLad Posted March 17, 2016 Report Share Posted March 17, 2016 1 minute ago, Doozerchris said: I want 1st half then.. Trust you to kick off over it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vincent Vega Posted March 17, 2016 Report Share Posted March 17, 2016 Just now, RedLionLad said: Trust you to kick off over it Taking my ball and going home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Red Hat Posted March 17, 2016 Report Share Posted March 17, 2016 11 minutes ago, Doozerchris said: I wanted 19..! Not playing if your having it. Phew, I knew I'd have to get in quick. 19 is always quite popular. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BS2 Red Posted March 18, 2016 Report Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 17/03/2016 at 12:44, BCFC_Dan said: Probabilities from Experimental361 as of last weekend (before Blackburn lost on Tuesday): We're currently over 90% likely to stay up. Obviously that will change if the results don't go our way but I think we're really nearly there now. That said, I can't help feeling we won't get the necessary points from the Bolton and Rotherham games but we probably will pick them up from other fixtures. I have no reason to doubt the accuracy of that graph and so I guess we finally have to admit that we are out of the automatic and play off race. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dolman Pragmatist Posted March 18, 2016 Report Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 17/03/2016 at 12:44, BCFC_Dan said: Probabilities from Experimental361 as of last weekend (before Blackburn lost on Tuesday): We're currently over 90% likely to stay up. Obviously that will change if the results don't go our way but I think we're really nearly there now. That said, I can't help feeling we won't get the necessary points from the Bolton and Rotherham games but we probably will pick them up from other fixtures. Am I just being a bit thick here, or does this only go to demonstrate that the fewer points you have, the more likely you are to be relegated? I think I knew that already. I see Burnley, who are top, are most likely to win the league. Knock me down with a feather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
archie andrews Posted March 18, 2016 Report Share Posted March 18, 2016 have we scored yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drew Peacock Posted March 18, 2016 Report Share Posted March 18, 2016 37 minutes ago, The Dolman Pragmatist said: Am I just being a bit thick here, or does this only go to demonstrate that the fewer points you have, the more likely you are to be relegated? I think I knew that already. I see Burnley, who are top, are most likely to win the league. Knock me down with a feather! I agree Brentford have got more than a virtually zero chance of relegation the way they are playing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYTRAM Posted March 18, 2016 Report Share Posted March 18, 2016 1 hour ago, Drew Peacock said: I agree Brentford have got more than a virtually zero chance of relegation the way they are playing. Surely for it to be zero probability they have to be mathematically safe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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