Waconda Posted February 15, 2022 Report Share Posted February 15, 2022 Hope it isn't the one the Post Office used !! Championship Predictions | FiveThirtyEight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TonyTonyTony Posted February 15, 2022 Report Share Posted February 15, 2022 52 points - settle for that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
And Its Smith Posted February 15, 2022 Report Share Posted February 15, 2022 Sheff united with a 30% chance of promotion is good news for me on this bet, where the cash out is growing by the week! 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fordy62 Posted February 15, 2022 Report Share Posted February 15, 2022 13 minutes ago, And Its Smith said: Sheff united with a 30% chance of promotion is good news for me on this bet, where the cash out is growing by the week! Tempted? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IAmNick Posted February 15, 2022 Report Share Posted February 15, 2022 (edited) I'm interested in why our offensive rating (number of goals we'd be expected to score against an average team) is so low, when we've scored the most goals outside of the top 6. Maybe as we're beating the bottom teams consistently that's skewed our stats a bit? We are still out performing our strength though, which they calculate as the 4th worst in the division. It's based off previous seasons calculated strength (67%) and the value from transfermarkt (33%) it looks like - makes sense it's so low then. At the start of the year they had as relegated, so we're out performing their model so far. Edited February 15, 2022 by IAmNick Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
And Its Smith Posted February 15, 2022 Report Share Posted February 15, 2022 10 minutes ago, Fordy62 said: Tempted? 3 of them seem nailed on so as long as Sheff uniteds good run keeps going then it should keep growing. It was worth £95 last week. I won’t let it go to play offs if they get there as I’m too cautious. Hopefully cash out at £250-300. Could do with the cash! 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supercidered Posted February 15, 2022 Report Share Posted February 15, 2022 36 minutes ago, TonyTonyTony said: 52 points - settle for that. Wouldn't just take yer hand off, I'd take the whole arm off for 52 points. At the start of the season, I was thinking of a figure quite a bit less than that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ExiledAjax Posted February 15, 2022 Report Share Posted February 15, 2022 21 minutes ago, IAmNick said: I'm interested in why our offensive rating (number of goals we'd be expected to score against an average team) is so low, when we've scored the most goals outside of the top 6. Maybe as we're beating the bottom teams consistently that's skewed our stats a bit? We are still out performing our strength though, which they calculate as the 4th worst in the division. It's based off previous seasons calculated strength (67%) and the value from transfermarkt (33%) it looks like - makes sense it's so low then. At the start of the year they had as relegated, so we're out performing their model so far. Beginning the season predicting us to be relegated was pretty fair if you based it purely on 2020/21s numbers. We were comfortably the worst team in the division from October onwards. The only reason I had us 17th on 53 points was because although I expected us to be inconsistent, I thought that soft factors like Pearson, player contract changes, and other minor things that a computer algorithm won't factor in would lift us above the true dross at the bottom. We've been trending towards the low 50s for a while now and it's looking like that's where we are going to land. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Davefevs Posted February 15, 2022 Report Share Posted February 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, ExiledAjax said: Beginning the season predicting us to be relegated was pretty fair if you based it purely on 2020/21s numbers. We were comfortably the worst team in the division from October onwards. The only reason I had us 17th on 53 points was because although I expected us to be inconsistent, I thought that soft factors like Pearson, player contract changes, and other minor things that a computer algorithm won't factor in would lift us above the true dross at the bottom. We've been trending towards the low 50s for a while now and it's looking like that's where we are going to land. I had 57 points in my results prediction league. Probably 3-6 points too high. We’ve had better player availability than last season, but still enough to not be able to field our strongest eleven more than a couple of times. That’s hit us, and hit consistency. I’d like to see us get a point a game for the remaining 14, and break 50. I honestly couldn’t care less that the bottom 4 might be miles adrift…and that’s the only reason we are safe. Toughski Shitski to them as they in Russia. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slippin cider Posted February 15, 2022 Report Share Posted February 15, 2022 (edited) I’d be very surprised if this prediction was anywhere near accurate. No one really knows who will finish where . I predict we’ll finish in the playoffs after a successive run of back to back wins ! ….dooooooont mention it! …. super computer my ass! Edited February 15, 2022 by Slippin cider 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BCFCGav Posted February 15, 2022 Report Share Posted February 15, 2022 1% chance of relegation (and <1% chance of the playoffs) sounds about right to be honest. I'm gonna start settling into enjoying the business end of the Champions League, the culmination of the FA Cup and the like. I'll still be watching us week in week out of course, but it's more about seeing how players develop and hopefully celebrating the odd good result. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ExiledAjax Posted February 15, 2022 Report Share Posted February 15, 2022 6 minutes ago, Davefevs said: I had 57 points in my results prediction league. Probably 3-6 points too high. We’ve had better player availability than last season, but still enough to not be able to field our strongest eleven more than a couple of times. That’s hit us, and hit consistency. I’d like to see us get a point a game for the remaining 14, and break 50. I honestly couldn’t care less that the bottom 4 might be miles adrift…and that’s the only reason we are safe. Toughski Shitski to them as they in Russia. Yeh, 4 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses is about what I'd exepect from here. That would give us 15 more, landing on 52. At the bottom...well really it's one of thsoe seasons where 4 should be relegated. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red-Robbo Posted February 15, 2022 Report Share Posted February 15, 2022 1 minute ago, ExiledAjax said: Yeh, 4 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses is about what I'd exepect from here. That would give us 15 more, landing on 52. At the bottom...well really it's one of thsoe seasons where 4 should be relegated. But if it was 5 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses we get the 55 points I predicted before the season started and I shall proclaim myself King of the World. All we need is for the entire Boro squad to catch Lassa Fever this week. I mean them no harm. Just a mild bit of Lassa-ing. A vanilla epidemic. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ExiledAjax Posted February 15, 2022 Report Share Posted February 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, Red-Robbo said: But if it was 5 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses we get the 55 points I predicted before the season started and I shall proclaim myself King of the World. All we need is for the entire Boro squad to catch Lassa Fever this week. I mean them no harm. Just a mild bit of Lassa-ing. A vanilla epidemic. Yeh and I need 16 to hit the 53 that I went for in @Nogbad the Bad's predictor game. So really I want 5 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses. Or 7 wins, 7 losses and a 5 point deduction because Nige punches Vyner at some point. Permutations. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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