Silvio Dante Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 Apparently…. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Peter O Hanraha-hanrahan Posted April 1 Popular Post Report Share Posted April 1 Doesn’t work like that for us though. If we had to play the current top 7 with Sky televising each game we might have got promoted. 5 15 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Brent Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 Tinnion will be rubbing his hands together in the HPC 2 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike Hunt-Hertz Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 6 minutes ago, David Brent said: Tinnion will be rubbing his hands together in the HPC Well he would, if he knew what "statistically" meant. 15 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cityal Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 6 minutes ago, Mike Hunt-Hertz said: Well he would, if he knew what "statistically" meant. He looked it up online - the analyst team are now researching a dutch player called van der graaf 1 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike Hunt-Hertz Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 8 minutes ago, cityal said: He looked it up online - the analyst team are now researching a dutch player called van der graaf They should generate quite a bit of useful info. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Original OTIB Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 (edited) 50 minutes ago, Silvio Dante said: Apparently…. You'll be banging on about that XG makarkey next! What are the XL stats? Though both should be EG and EL. Edited April 1 by The Original OTIB Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ExiledAjax Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 (edited) 49 minutes ago, Silvio Dante said: Apparently…. I think Soccerstats do it better where they looks at the ppg of your remaining opponents v the ppg of who you've played. There's a lot of numbers in their table, but basically an easier run in is shown by a big +% in the final column. A big -% means a hard run-in. Their system says yes we've got a gentler final 7, but it's not quite as easy a run-in as those off Rotherham, Sheffield Wednesday, Swansea, or Stoke. Look at the top btw. Ipswich's final 7 is nails. Edited April 1 by ExiledAjax Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MelksRed Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 41 minutes ago, David Brent said: Tinnion will be rubbing his hands together in the HPC He'll be rubbing something.....not his hands Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tinmans Love Child Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 So you're saying there's a chance? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Dolman Pragmatist Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 The easiest games at this stage of the season are likely to be against teams with nothing to play for. Three of our games are against teams needing points to avoid the drop who will be fighting for their lives. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MelksRed Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 (edited) Statistically yes.....in reality....5 losses, a draw and a fluky 1-0 win in the 90+5.... Wonder what Padddy Power will give me on that? Edited April 1 by MelksRed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pezo Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 2 minutes ago, Tinmans Love Child said: So you're saying there's a chance? Of getting 4 points from 7 games ..... Yeah! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Original OTIB Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 2 minutes ago, The Dolman Pragmatist said: The easiest games at this stage of the season are likely to be against teams with nothing to play for. Three of our games are against teams needing points to avoid the drop who will be fighting for their lives. That'll be against us then. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pezo Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 3 minutes ago, The Dolman Pragmatist said: The easiest games at this stage of the season are likely to be against teams with nothing to play for. Three of our games are against teams needing points to avoid the drop who will be fighting for their lives. So basically those 7 really want to be playing us then Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ExiledAjax Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 (edited) One thing to look for today is that I think - if I've got my maths correct - it's mathematically possible for Rotherham to be relegated today. Their maximum points total right now is 41. If they draw today it's only 39. If they lose then it's 38. Three teams above them already have 39, including the team in 21st, and none of them are playing each other today. Rotherham have one game left against one of those three teams - Birmingham. So, if either of Sheff Wed or Huddersfield beat or equal Rotherham's result today, then Rotherham are down. I think. Edited April 1 by ExiledAjax 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveF Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 10 minutes ago, ExiledAjax said: One thing to look for today is that I think - if I've got my maths correct - it's mathematically possible for Rotherham to be relegated today. Their maximum points total right now is 41. If they draw today it's only 39. Three teams above them already have 39, and none of them are playing each other today. Rotherham have one game left against one of those three teams - Birmingham. So, if Sheff Wed or Huddersfield beat Rotherham's result today, then Rotherham are down. I think. They're down regardless if they lose, max points they can get currently is 21, lose and it becomes 18 meaning even if everyone above them loses they're still down. Intriguing for me is that Blackburn could go down, awful form and toughest run in. Would be pleased if Blackburn and Birmingham go down. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike Stone Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 So theres a good chance we will get to 60 pts and the suits will say it was an improvement on last year. Wonderful Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fordy62 Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 59 minutes ago, Mike Hunt-Hertz said: Well he would, if he knew what "statistically" meant. Statistikally. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Super Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 Apart from Rotherham there are no easy games especially this stage of the season. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrahamC Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 39 minutes ago, The Dolman Pragmatist said: The easiest games at this stage of the season are likely to be against teams with nothing to play for. Three of our games are against teams needing points to avoid the drop who will be fighting for their lives. Have you included Rotherham? They definitely have nothing to play for, effectively been relegated for weeks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrahamC Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 36 minutes ago, ExiledAjax said: One thing to look for today is that I think - if I've got my maths correct - it's mathematically possible for Rotherham to be relegated today. Their maximum points total right now is 41. If they draw today it's only 39. If they lose then it's 38. Three teams above them already have 39, including the team in 21st, and none of them are playing each other today. Rotherham have one game left against one of those three teams - Birmingham. So, if either of Sheff Wed or Huddersfield beat or equal Rotherham's result today, then Rotherham are down. I think. Yep- plus Huddersfield & Birmingham still have to play each other. They might be crap but they can’t both lose that one. Rotherham’s abysmal minus 50 goal difference is effectively worth another point to the rest too. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ExiledAjax Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 Just now, GrahamC said: Yep- plus Huddersfield & Birmingham still have to play each other. They might be crap but they can’t both lose that one. Rotherham’s abysmal minus 50 goal difference is effectively worth another point to the rest too. Yeh it needs a miraculous set of results to see them safe. Never realistically going to happen. (Likely) confirmed relegation on 1st April is impressive in a horrible kind of way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrahamC Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 6 minutes ago, ExiledAjax said: Yeh it needs a miraculous set of results to see them safe. Never realistically going to happen. (Likely) confirmed relegation on 1st April is impressive in a horrible kind of way. Richardson their manager has been very honest in saying they’ve effectively been down for weeks. Lost 10 of their last 11 with a couple of recent 5-0 hammerings, only point was a 0-0 v Huddersfield. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ExiledAjax Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 3 minutes ago, GrahamC said: Richardson their manager has been very honest in saying they’ve effectively been down for weeks. Lost 10 of their last 11 with a couple of recent 5-0 hammerings, only point was a 0-0 v Huddersfield. Yeh and I doubt they'll sack him. They're a yo-yo Champ/L1 club and tbh they seem about as content with that as you can be. I don't know loads about their ownership but they seem fairly sensibly run from a distant viewpoint. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Davefevs Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 2 hours ago, David Brent said: Tinnion will be rubbing his hands together in the HPC Thought he was gonna start a fire in the BBCRB studio that night! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redsquirrel Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 1 hour ago, MelksRed said: He'll be rubbing something.....not his hands and not his own either Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red-Robbo Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 1 hour ago, Super said: Apart from Rotherham there are no easy games especially this stage of the season. This is it. And it may well be harder playing clubs fighting for their lives at this stage of the season than it is to play clubs thinking about promotion but nervous as to whether they will atain it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richwwtk Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 2 hours ago, ExiledAjax said: I think Soccerstats do it better where they looks at the ppg of your remaining opponents v the ppg of who you've played. There's a lot of numbers in their table, but basically an easier run in is shown by a big +% in the final column. A big -% means a hard run-in. Their system says yes we've got a gentler final 7, but it's not quite as easy a run-in as those off Rotherham, Sheffield Wednesday, Swansea, or Stoke. Look at the top btw. Ipswich's final 7 is nails. That table will have Blackburn very nervous! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ExiledAjax Posted April 1 Report Share Posted April 1 1 minute ago, richwwtk said: That table will have Blackburn very nervous! Yeh the whole "we'll score one more than you" glass cannon style was working ok under JDT for a while, but it started cracking, then disintegrated, and Eustace just hasn't been able to repurpose the pieces into anything resembling a functional team. Their attack has collapsed, delivering xG of less than 1 in many of their recent games. It's not good. Bar Szmodics' goals they've really had a pretty dire season. I'd still be surprised if they go down as realistically they probably only need another 6 points or so, but they're definitely vulnerable, especially with the rough run in. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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