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ExiledAjax

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Everything posted by ExiledAjax

  1. I don't know mate. I'm just relaying what's on our OS. I lice a 3 hour drive from Bristol and don't have an ST, so that's where I am with it all.
  2. I suspect this means those with overseas connections will not need to use their VPN if they happen to be in the UK today... Your suspicion is correct. As with our other midweek games so far this season.
  3. Midweek games not selected for other broadcast are in RobinsTV and are available in the UK. This is a snip from the OS preview. https://www.bcfc.co.uk/news/tinnion-on-robins-tv-for-huddersfield-town-clash/
  4. The bloke knows as much about our 21/22 losses as he does about Andi Weimann's transfer. Mug.
  5. Remember that tonight's game is on RobinsTV and is available in the UK.
  6. Nah honestly it used to be a pain when our games were selected. On RobinsTV it was watchable in the flat, no worries. When selected you'd have to go and persuade the local sports bar, who'd rather be showing the NFL, Premier League, NBA, Rugby Internationals, Cricket or any other sport, to hunt down whatever random local channel we were on and put little old Bristol City on. This game is up against Spurs, Chelsea and Leeds. Pain in the arse. A petty complaint, and it may well be different in Spain or other European countries, but where I was it was a nightmare.
  7. Probably I'd go with the Luton lineup but switching Massengo out for Williams. I can't see James or Semenyo being fit to start, but would expect both to be on the bench. So this, but Williams in for Massengo.
  8. One of the biggest issues in society is that the different generations cannot communicate.
  9. Is it odd that he's named rather than "Triallist"? Maybe we are just giving him some respect given he's 37 and has been there and done it all.
  10. Have we properly signed Bamba then? I hate to say this but...has it been on the OS?
  11. Fair points. I come at it from a perspective of not thinking we'll be top 6 material with or without Conway or Semenyo. Regardless of how much we attack, I just don't think the defence is up to it. Top 12 maybe, but top 6 is a big ask. Conway's form is good. It also looks able to be maintained. He's not a wild anomaly when compared to other strikers. Yes he's a bit of an unknown given his age, but that's all that's really surprising. If you didn't know his age, and compared him to other strikers in the division, you'd spot nothing out of the ordinary. I think he is capable of carrying on like this through the season.
  12. To be fair, the frosty opening is in response to a bunch of questions about Baker that he's got neither the standing nor information to answer. Conway's is fun as well. Biggest takeaway? That the senior players still make the young lads take part in credit card roulette for meals out. Outrageous behaviour from the monied lads.
  13. It stands for "Expected Goals". In brief - each shot taken by a team is given a score of between 0 and 1. The closer to 1 it is, the more likely it is to result in a goal. The score a shot is given is derived from analysis of thousands of historical games at all levels. For example a penalty will get an xG score of about 0.78 because history shows that about 78% of penalties are scored. A speculative long range shot might only register 0.01 because only about 1% of that type of shot ever goes in. Essentially it's a refinement of just looking at how many shots or shots on target a team takes, so allowing us to pick out anomalies. Preston are a great example right now. They've been recording 0-0 results with alarming frequency, but their xG scores are pretty normal. That suggests that it's not an impotency of attack that is depriving them of goals but bad luck, good goalkeeping, or a combination of those factors.
  14. xG often gets mis-used to say that a team "should" have won a game or such. However, if you want to consider attacking effectiveness or threat as a whole and across many games, then it's about the best metric we've got. I'm quite happy to look at images like the one posted by @HappyClapper and at tabels and graphs that show xG, and say that yeh, we've got a dangerous attack. When you take that image and compare it to this table of shots and where they are taken: Then you start to see that we're dangerous because we shoot in the box. We're bang in mid-table for total shots taken, but we're 10th for shots in the box and 8th in the 6-yard box, and we're 19th for shots out of the box. So we shoot from close. Then you can look at individual player conversion rates and you see that of the 44 players to have attempted 10+ shots this season we have Conway and Weimann in mid-table for total shots taken (14 and 11 respectively), but they are both much higher up when you rank those 44 by things like shot on target %, shot conversion rate, etc. So the individuals are performing in line with the team, or perhaps it s the other way round. Either way it's not luck. Why? The very good numbers posted so far have largely been without Semenyo's involvement. He's a good player, and fits our play well, but if he leaves I am confident we can continue scoring at a good rate. There's nothing in the stats that suggests we have really suffered in his absence. We saw similar this time last season when he was out with injury. He may improve us, but we're also more than capable of being dangerous without him.
  15. In these early days, yes. Best shot on target conversion rate. 4th best general shot conversion rate. Second highest xG generated from open play. It's a dangerous attack that creates quality chances and finishes them with aplomb. Edit: to add, the attack has been consistent in that threat creation as well. In the 6 league games so far we've seen xG ratings of 1.17, 1.22, 1.53, 0.91, 1.40, 1.73 and 1.92. so almost all above 1 but no single game is dramatically skewing our average of 1.45. An average xG of 0.134 per shot is very good, and compares favourably to the 0.097 of our opponent's shots. Essentially our average shot from open play has a 13.4% chance of becoming a goal, the shots our opponents take has a 9.7% chance of doing the same. That's good. All of these numbers are a good deal better than the averages for the whole of last season. Very. We could also improve by generating more opportunities for our strikers to score. We're effective, and we're clinical in our finishing, but we're not prolific chance/shot creators. We finish many of those we do create, but it's very much quality rather than quantity that is getting our goals scored column up. We weren't all calling for a striker to be signed.
  16. I hope we do arrange a testimonial or friendly with Villa in the summer. In the meantime it might be possible to acknowledge him when we host Lincoln in the Cup? Presume he was on loan there many moons ago.
  17. Yeh I hope this happens if it's something he'd like. I can only echo what others say. He comes across as a great guy, and this must have been a tough decision. I liked his commitment on the pitch, and he was a good servant for us. Villa supporting friends also never had a bad word to say about him. I hope he does very very well in the future.
  18. See my opening post on this thread! And then please read the one a little further down where I apologise for my sweariness and anger.
  19. Just watching MOTD. Can't believe there are still issues in the Prem with kit blends. I find it next to impossible to distinguish Liverpool and Bournemouth in the long camera shot here. All red (and a dark red at that) v all black is commonly known to be problematic for colourblind fans. Football clubs, officials, leagues, and designers all know it. Bournemouth should have worn the blue away kit. Easy solution that doesn't make it shit watching for 12% of the male population.
  20. The relevance is that it shows that we are "clinical" when compared to our competitors. In terms of being "clinical", long shots are shit. Generally they have about a 1-2% chance of going in. If they don't go in you generally cede possession to the other side. Relevant stats are generally limited to shots from inside or outside the box. On that metric yeh we're near the bottom. Ie we don't shoot from outside the box much. That's been a trend for a few seasons now. It used to be an issue under LJ and then Holden, but that was because we weren't creating and scoring the close range shots. We are doing that very well right now, and so now I'd encourage us to continue with it rather than waste our possession with a 25 yard speculation. Hope that makes sense.
  21. The accountants would. I wouldn't, but they would.
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