The key is going to be winning away against our fellow strugglers and winning at home against the mid table teams.
Top 8 - 3 Home - (W Ham, Cardiff, BPool) 2 Away (Boro, Brum)
Middle 8 - 4 Home (Leics, Derby, Watford, Barnsley), 1 away (Burnley)
Bottom 7 - 1 Home (Cov), 4 Away (Pboro, Ports, Ipswich, Forest)
Let's say top teams W1, D1, L3 - 4 points
Middle teams W2, D1, L2 - 7 points
Bottom teams W2, D1, L2 - 7 points
That would give us 18 points and take us to 49 in total and should be enough