Rocking Red Cyril Posted February 17, 2017 Report Share Posted February 17, 2017 It was said in another topic on here somewhere that the 5 points from 3 games as in were, Rotherham, weds and derby was good form which I agree with . Point at derby great result whatever half time score. But peps still not seem happy with this form mmmmmmmmmmm I thought that 5 out of 9 points , not bad I thought. So again I thought mmmmmmmmmmm that over a season is 56% not Barcelona form but not bad in my book and would be a season points tally of 77 points which h in my book would cause lots of cidery type celebrations. So would 77 points this season not keep you happy ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red Army 75 Posted February 17, 2017 Report Share Posted February 17, 2017 Of course 77 points would keep people happy. But we won't get 77 points. Nowhere near . If u base you're maths over the last 17 games what does the percentage workout then . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocking Red Cyril Posted February 17, 2017 Author Report Share Posted February 17, 2017 6 minutes ago, Red Army 75 said: Of course 77 points would keep people happy. But we won't get 77 points. Nowhere near . If u base you're maths over the last 17 games what does the percentage workout then . Ok using the above basis that gives us another 28 points, which I see being a struggle to get, even with improving form . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocking Red Cyril Posted February 17, 2017 Author Report Share Posted February 17, 2017 Another 28 points gives season total which sees , I think , just in top half. My worry the the theory is that you can not compare any game with any other therefore the whole ideology bending using 5 points from 9 has no basis for a season long assessment and is there fore total crap. Sorry was going so well as well, back to the delegation fight Coyr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eddie Hitler Posted February 17, 2017 Report Share Posted February 17, 2017 You can only project that form forward on the basis that we will be playing Rotherham every three games between now and the end of the season. If this were the case then I would be much more confident. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Davefevs Posted February 17, 2017 Report Share Posted February 17, 2017 @Rocking Red Cyril have you read Moneyball? The film is crap, but the book is good. Theres some interesting stuff about how they worked out how many points they'd need through the season of 168 games to reach the playoffs, and where all those points would come from and how they'd use their budget to get there. And they did get to the playoffs. Unfortunately the sample size of the play-offs was too small, and they're planning couldn't equate to that. Interestingly or not, in 14/15 season, our worst set of 5 games yielded 6 points. That's impressive. No other club had as good a 'bad run' as us. Also interesting in that you've omitted Leeds result. But I get your point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocking Red Cyril Posted February 18, 2017 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2017 19 hours ago, Davefevs said: @Rocking Red Cyril have you read Moneyball? The film is crap, but the book is good. Theres some interesting stuff about how they worked out how many points they'd need through the season of 168 games to reach the playoffs, and where all those points would come from and how they'd use their budget to get there. And they did get to the playoffs. Unfortunately the sample size of the play-offs was too small, and they're planning couldn't equate to that. Interestingly or not, in 14/15 season, our worst set of 5 games yielded 6 points. That's impressive. No other club had as good a 'bad run' as us. Also interesting in that you've omitted Leeds result. But I get your point. No not read the book who the author. Agreed I did drop the Leeds game but I was trying to find a positive outlook. Figures and statistics can be manipulated in many different ways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocking Red Cyril Posted February 18, 2017 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2017 20 hours ago, Davefevs said: @Rocking Red Cyril have you read Moneyball? The film is crap, but the book is good. Theres some interesting stuff about how they worked out how many points they'd need through the season of 168 games to reach the playoffs, and where all those points would come from and how they'd use their budget to get there. And they did get to the playoffs. Unfortunately the sample size of the play-offs was too small, and they're planning couldn't equate to that. Interestingly or not, in 14/15 season, our worst set of 5 games yielded 6 points. That's impressive. No other club had as good a 'bad run' as us. Also interesting in that you've omitted Leeds result. But I get your point. Have done my calculations over whole season data and not look so good another 7 points which I sure would put us down. So yes it depends on the sample group not necessarily the calculation used. Keep the faith. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
formerly known as ivan Posted February 18, 2017 Report Share Posted February 18, 2017 On 17/02/2017 at 06:16, Rocking Red Cyril said: Point at derby great result whatever half time score. Let's do this one more time... No no no! A point away at Derby after being 3-0 up at half time is not and never will be a great result! It was Derby, not Real Madrid!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BS4 on Tour... Posted February 18, 2017 Report Share Posted February 18, 2017 On 17/02/2017 at 09:41, Davefevs said: @Rocking Red Cyril have you read Moneyball? The film is crap, but the book is good. Theres some interesting stuff about how they worked out how many points they'd need through the season of 168 games to reach the playoffs... 168 games?! That's a long season! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Davefevs Posted February 18, 2017 Report Share Posted February 18, 2017 5 hours ago, Rocking Red Cyril said: No not read the book who the author. Agreed I did drop the Leeds game but I was trying to find a positive outlook. Figures and statistics can be manipulated in many different ways If you want a read, I'll post my copy to you....DM me if interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rocking Red Cyril Posted February 20, 2017 Author Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 On 18/02/2017 at 10:39, Davefevs said: If you want a read, I'll post my copy to you....DM me if interested. So for seemng bit of dummy but what is DM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Davefevs Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 Derek McInnes. nah, Direct message....or PM - personal message. Didn't want you posting your address on here! Click on my photo and choose "message". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RiverRed Posted February 20, 2017 Report Share Posted February 20, 2017 On 2/18/2017 at 09:49, BS4 on Tour... said: 168 games?! That's a long season! A lot of cup replays I guess. Tough season, no easy games at this level, etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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