City oz Posted April 4, 2023 Report Share Posted April 4, 2023 The below has us finishing on 57 points. Currently 49 points so prediction is an additional 8 points. Is that two wins and two draws maybe and the remainder losses. If so, it would be a bit of a mixed bag for the run in but still commendable and a positive grounding for next season. CHAMPIONSHIP 2022-23 England, tier 2 Updated April 1, 2023, at 12:04 p.m. TEAM RATING AVG. SIMULATED SEASON END-OF-SEASON PROBABILITIES TEAM SPI OFF. DEF. GOAL DIFF. PTS. EVERY POSITION RELEGATED MAKE PROM. PLAYOFFS PROMOTED WIN CHAMPIONSHIP Burnley84 pts 60.7 1.5 0.9 +51 99 1st →↓ 24th — <1% >99% 98% Sheffield Utd73 pts 54.6 1.4 1.0 +31 87 — 11% 91% 2% Luton Town67 pts 54.0 1.3 1.0 +16 79 — 94% 30% <1% Middlesbrough67 pts 55.9 1.6 1.2 +28 79 — 92% 33% <1% Millwall61 pts 50.9 1.3 1.1 +12 73 — 72% 18% — Blackburn61 pts 40.9 1.0 1.2 -1 71 — 45% 7% <1% West Brom56 pts 52.0 1.3 1.1 +10 68 <1% 27% 8% — Norwich57 pts 49.4 1.3 1.2 +12 68 <1% 23% 6% — Coventry City57 pts 47.5 1.3 1.2 +7 68 <1% 18% 4% — Watford55 pts 46.6 1.2 1.2 +4 65 <1% 6% 2% — Sunderland54 pts 44.1 1.2 1.3 +8 64 <1% 5% <1% — Preston56 pts 39.2 1.0 1.3 -9 64 <1% 3% <1% — Stoke City51 pts 55.6 1.5 1.1 +12 64 <1% 3% 1% — Swansea City49 pts 46.6 1.4 1.4 -3 60 <1% <1% <1% — Bristol City49 pts 41.6 1.1 1.3 -3 57 <1% <1% <1% — Birmingham48 pts 38.7 1.1 1.4 -9 56 <1% <1% <1% — Hull City48 pts 38.8 1.0 1.3 -13 55 <1% <1% <1% — Reading46 pts 33.4 1.0 1.5 -21 54 2% <1% <1% — QPR42 pts 34.5 1.0 1.5 -26 49 23% <1% <1% — Rotherham41 pts 31.0 0.9 1.5 -15 48 26% <1% <1% — Cardiff City39 pts 37.0 0.9 1.3 -17 48 33% <1% <1% — Huddersfield39 pts 32.6 0.9 1.4 -22 46 53% — — — Wigan37 pts 32.4 0.9 1.4 -28 44 77% — — — Blackpool35 pts 33.2 1.1 1.6 -23 42 85% — — — Forecast from TodayMarch 19March 15March 7Feb. 28Feb. 21Feb. 15Feb. 7Jan. 31Jan. 22Jan. 14Jan. 2Dec. 27Dec. 21Dec. 12Dec. 3Nov. 13Nov. 8Nov. 2Oct. 25Oct. 19Oct. 12Oct. 5Sept. 17Sept. 14Sept. 5Aug. 31Aug. 21Aug. 17Aug. 8Aug. 1July 19 Season 2022-232021-222020-212019-202018-192017-18 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fordy62 Posted April 4, 2023 Report Share Posted April 4, 2023 We really should be book marking this point in time. We’re getting really close to having our books in order after the colossal mess left by Ashton & LJ. Nige has done a really excellent job and bought some leeway for whoever succeeds him. The future is bright. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lanterne Rouge Posted April 4, 2023 Report Share Posted April 4, 2023 It would be really refreshing (and encouraging) if it did finish like that with four non-parachute payment clubs in the playoffs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ralphindevon Posted April 5, 2023 Report Share Posted April 5, 2023 I’d say that’s a fair shout. I must say, the last few years at this time I’ve been half questioning if I should renew my season ticket* I always have but this season I’m already really looking forward to next season. We could have some good clubs joining us from above and below and some grounds not visited for some time or at all. And hopefully a push towards the play offs. * I’ve noticed they’re called season tickets again and not cards. Thought they’d have come up with a new name as they’ll be neither cards or tickets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lanterne Rouge Posted April 5, 2023 Report Share Posted April 5, 2023 5 hours ago, ralphindevon said: I’d say that’s a fair shout. I must say, the last few years at this time I’ve been half questioning if I should renew my season ticket* I always have but this season I’m already really looking forward to next season. We could have some good clubs joining us from above and below and some grounds not visited for some time or at all. And hopefully a push towards the play offs. * I’ve noticed they’re called season tickets again and not cards. Thought they’d have come up with a new name as they’ll be neither cards or tickets. Season apps? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ralphindevon Posted April 5, 2023 Report Share Posted April 5, 2023 5 minutes ago, Lanterne Rouge said: Season apps? Yeah or season codes? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
City oz Posted April 24, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 24, 2023 Just comparing from the original post on the 4th of Aril to now. We are now currently on 56 points and two more matches to complete this season. The prediction on the website above was that we finish the season with 57 points and a negative goal difference of -3. I think most sporting web sites and associated betting prediction sites do not give us justice on what we can achieve. We have two difficult matches ahead and my feeling is we grab a point against Burnley and win against QPR from that equates to 60 points. On another note, look at where Reading was predicted to finish up and look at where they are currently sitting. However maximum points bring us to 63 points which to me unlikely but having said that what a great season and the potential is there for better things to come season 23/24. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigTone Posted April 24, 2023 Report Share Posted April 24, 2023 On 05/04/2023 at 14:05, ralphindevon said: Thought they’d have come up with a new name as they’ll be neither cards or tickets. Season Sentence 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ExiledAjax Posted April 24, 2023 Report Share Posted April 24, 2023 1 hour ago, City oz said: Just comparing from the original post on the 4th of Aril to now. We are now currently on 56 points and two more matches to complete this season. The prediction on the website above was that we finish the season with 57 points and a negative goal difference of -3. I think most sporting web sites and associated betting prediction sites do not give us justice on what we can achieve. We have two difficult matches ahead and my feeling is we grab a point against Burnley and win against QPR from that equates to 60 points. On another note, look at where Reading was predicted to finish up and look at where they are currently sitting. However maximum points bring us to 63 points which to me unlikely but having said that what a great season and the potential is there for better things to come season 23/24. We'll lose to Burnley and I suspect an away draw at QPR. So fivethirtyeight would be bob on (although they've revised their predictions as they constantly do and currently don't think we'll get another point this season). As for Reading, your table was from 4 April, that was the day they got their -6 deduction. Did that prediction include or exclude that deduction? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
City oz Posted April 24, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 24, 2023 7 minutes ago, ExiledAjax said: We'll lose to Burnley and I suspect an away draw at QPR. So fivethirtyeight would be bob on (although they've revised their predictions as they constantly do and currently don't think we'll get another point this season). As for Reading, your table was from 4 April, that was the day they got their -6 deduction. Did that prediction include or exclude that deduction? Great point E Ajax with Reading. With us maybe 2 x draws might be the conclusion. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lrrr Posted April 24, 2023 Report Share Posted April 24, 2023 41 minutes ago, ExiledAjax said: We'll lose to Burnley and I suspect an away draw at QPR. So fivethirtyeight would be bob on (although they've revised their predictions as they constantly do and currently don't think we'll get another point this season). As for Reading, your table was from 4 April, that was the day they got their -6 deduction. Did that prediction include or exclude that deduction? They've drawn with Reading and lost to QPR, definitely vulnerable since they've had promotion confirmed Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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