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Bookies view on next season


Jerseybean

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1 hour ago, Davefevs said:

They don’t need to be realistic, their aim is to make money.  They do that in their “margins”.

I know you know that, but here’s a good link for others:

https://www.newbettingoffers.co.uk/how-to-calculate-football-betting-margins

Even in things like Roulette, paying out 32x still has a margin because of zero, meaning there are 33 numbers not just 1-32, which means they make a 3.125% margin on every spin on average.  I believe some wheels in some casinos also have a double zero (00), meaning they pay out 32x on 34 numbers!

36 numbers plus zero, and in some places 37 as they have zero and double zero.

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1 hour ago, Davefevs said:

They don’t need to be realistic, their aim is to make money.  They do that in their “margins”.

I know you know that, but here’s a good link for others:

https://www.newbettingoffers.co.uk/how-to-calculate-football-betting-margins

Even in things like Roulette, paying out 32x still has a margin because of zero, meaning there are 33 numbers not just 1-32, which means they make a 3.125% margin on every spin on average.  I believe some wheels in some casinos also have a double zero (00), meaning they pay out 32x on 34 numbers!

The difference with a roulette wheel is the margin is fixed so they will never lose longterm.

With the bookies they could have a larger margin in their book than a casino, but can still get it wrong. So it comes down to the punter to spot/know where the value/wrong prices are, hence why bookies ban completely or restrict many punters literally to betting maximum stakes of pennies with them (Horse racing especially). 

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Just now, TheReds said:

The difference with a roulette wheel is the margin is fixed so they will never lose longterm.

With the bookies they could have a larger margin in their book than a casino, but can still get it wrong. So it comes down to the punter to spot/know where the value/wrong prices are, hence why bookies ban completely or restrict many punters literally to betting maximum stakes of pennies with them (Horse racing especially). 

Yes, was a simple analogy.

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1 hour ago, Davefevs said:

They don’t need to be realistic, their aim is to make money.  They do that in their “margins”.

I know you know that, but here’s a good link for others:

https://www.newbettingoffers.co.uk/how-to-calculate-football-betting-margins

Even in things like Roulette, paying out 32x still has a margin because of zero, meaning there are 33 numbers not just 1-32, which means they make a 3.125% margin on every spin on average.  I believe some wheels in some casinos also have a double zero (00), meaning they pay out 32x on 34 numbers!

36 numbers usually on roulette.

Edit - went to next page and saw it's already been mentioned.

Edited by Jimbo123
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