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Kingswood Robin

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Posts posted by Kingswood Robin

  1. 5 minutes ago, ExiledAjax said:

    The 0.67 number is meaningless when you're talking about numbers as small as 3 and 2. It's a classic example of what statisticians call "small number bias". Goals/SoT ratio is a nice number to look at, but it has almost no correlation to table position at the end of the season. It's a curiosity that shows if you're taking high quality shots on target, and that's about it.

    Just to add, you can arrive at a conclusion of targeting 5 shots on target per game from another direction. Most first choice keepers at our level have a save % of something in the 70% region. The best get up towards 80%.

    Put another way, most keepers save about 3 out of every 4 shots on target. So if you take 5, you're giving yourself a very good chance that, on average, at least one, maybe even 2, won't be saved.

    I understand what your saying about small number bias. My job has an element of that to it.

    Looking at it from another perspective, we're probably not going to win the league. If we can't have that, what would we rather watch? Personally I'd take more shots on target and go away feeling more entertained.

    • Like 1
  2. I don't think the OP is "convinced" we'll be relegated, but I can't argue with the assessment that shots on target need to improve.

    An SoT/goal ratio of 0.67 seems good, but if we can only manage 1 shot target that's less than a goal a game (the defence will need to be amazing). Manage 3 shots on target and we're on for 2 goals a game (this would feel like dreamland).

    Something that's concerned me for some time is that so much of our attacking play is via crosses. Scoring from crosses is not easy and I believe the stats back that up. 

     

    • Like 1
  3. 8 minutes ago, Red-Robbo said:

     

    THIS is where we need to spend what cash we have.

    We had two defensive midfielders - James and Williams. We have Knight, who, in the two games I've watched him, offers less of a threat to the opposition goal than I do from Row 34.

    We've just lost a highly creative midfielder who, although he wasn't the most physical, could spot a defence-splitting pass.

    We need someone with that creativity, vision and to just break-up play going straight down the centre towards us. 

    Hearing Pearson's interview on RB on the way back from that, didn't exactly inspire me that we're getting anyone. 

    Midfield and forward line for me. If we can't do both then improve the midfield with more creativity and the forward line will also benefit. Birmingham appeared to have several players that could go past people in central midfield and just left me thinking who can do that for us? No real purpose to our play, slow, predictable hit and hope. No incisive quality on show.

    As for Pearson talking about big moments for us, I can recall a pass to Bell that was offside in the first half and the Wells miss. That was it.

    • Thanks 1
  4. Creativity would be good, but lets keep it simple to start with. The ball needs to stay within the white lines. How many times did we just kick the ball out of play? It was pitiful, you can't blame FFP, selling players or injuries for that. 

    It was dreadful to watch. All huff and puff and completely predictable, no quality whatsoever. I believe Lansdown is ultimately responsible, but Pearson won't get cut much slack this season if home performances continue in the current vein.    

  5. 2 minutes ago, Roger Red Hat said:

    Agree with most of that, all except 'fair result'. I thought we were lucky to get a point, and too often 2nd to the ball.

    Agreed. The biggest surprise today was that Preston took so long to score. Pulled all over the place for long spells, lucky to get a point I thought.

    • Like 1
  6. 1 hour ago, nebristolred said:

    That's a pretty fascinating resource - and an insane number of failed attempts.

    I actually hadn't realised just how advanced the Mangotsfield plans eventually went. It seems an unusual instance where Rovers actually had a chunk of funds for it at the time, and it was held back due to the local backlash and worry about cars, only for the ring road to be built right next to the site a few years later. 

    And today, even after all of the building works around that area over the past 25 years, the proposed stadium site still lies untouched and right next to the ring road.

    If the Mangotsfield one went through I'd be able to see it from my house, imagine that !

    Anyway I did my part and got behind the "Support the Rovers move to Mansfield" campaign. Did the job.

    • Like 2
  7. Maybe the question should be, who's the biggest club to have done bugger all since forever. I can't believe anyone's challenging us for that.

    Luton have done the complete cycle. They were top flight when I was a teenager, had their bad years and now top flight again now I'm in my 50's. Clubs that get themselves into terrible financial trouble, dust themselves down and just go sailing past us again. Why do we never achieve anything?  

    • Like 1
  8. 20 hours ago, CyderInACan said:

    Berger Paints, wasn’t it? Behind what was the old pub The Glasscutter 

    Think it was John Halls. My dad used to drive an articulated lorry for them in the late 60s delivering Brolac paint. He once left his mark in Sidmouth while reversing around a tight corner. The mark is visible to this day !

    • Haha 1
  9. 1 hour ago, Swede said:

    Next season the Championship will be a lot harder with Saints, Leicester & probably dirty leeds in the mix. Add in Watford, Ipswich, Sunderland and that makes it even harder but with the clearing of the decks and post the financial mess Nige inherited its not unrealistic to think we could be pushing top six

    He's certainly done a good job so far and I hope it continues. As for the Championship, 3 teams always come up and 3 always come down. I can't see why the teams coming up would be better than us. If Southampton/Leicester/Leeds are that strong they can take the top 3 places. We can concentrate on moving from 14th up to 6th-8th, hopefully.

  10. Lots of games where I felt frustrated for an hour or two afterwards, but then that bigger picture feeling kicked in. Most areas of the pitch have improved. The fitness and ability is there, just a bit more nous is needed.

    The younger players will be another year older, the new players we've brought in will be a bit more integrated, even more new players will come in. In many ways this felt like the season before something big. I really hope so.

    • Like 1
  11. 9 minutes ago, Red-Robbo said:

     

    It's clear the Hollywood touch gives you the sort of glamour that brings attention and more money. My post was a joke, but two of those actors have West Country homes and the other has one in the Cotswolds so - why not! ?

    (As long as they don't make one of their kids chairman)

     

    Would we be good if those actors came in and formed a holding company called Ocean's Eleven.   

    I must say I'm looking forward to the One Show coverage when Boreham Wood go up via the play-offs !

    • Like 1
  12. 3 minutes ago, Jacs said:

    Not sure if this has been mentioned before but the new O'Neils shirt sizing seems massive! An adult "small" is a 43-44 inch chest!! 

    To those who have already bough one, are they true to size? If so, city are going to sell a lot more "kids" sizes this time round as 13 year old one is 41 inch chest!! 

     

     

     

    I hope this is true. The free shirt with a kids season ticket has been way too small. I always end up buying adult shirts for my two boys.

  13. 3 minutes ago, Silvio Dante said:

    The Second of May you say?

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/eng_div_2/1306803.stm

    I well recall gasheads w*nking themselves into a coma every May 2nd post 1990, even naming their fanzine after it. 
     

    Then, on 2nd May 2001, Rovers (hitherto the most mediocre side in English football having never been in top or bottom divisions) were relegated to league two for the first time in their history. By Wycombe (yep, them again!)

    The tugging stopped. The circle jerking stopped. The 2nd May was now associated with the saddest day in their history, when they fell to the lowest ebb they had ever been to. A cruel irony - fate would have that their special day was now their most tragic achievement.

    Until 16 years and one day later, obviously.

    We should do advent calendars.

    We need some kind of Stretford end counter at Ashton Gate. Each year just turn it over again.

    • Like 1
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