Nagy Mahal Posted March 5, 2017 Report Share Posted March 5, 2017 As posted in another thread: At this point in previous seasons in the Championship we were: 2015-16: 3 points ahead (finished 18th) 2012-13: 1 point ahead (finished... well) 2011-12: Same points (finished 20th) 2010-11: 10 points ahead (finished 15th) Remaining: Home (where we've won 71% of our points): 6 Away (where we've conceded at least one 94% of the time):4 Against (current) bottom half teams: 5 Against (current) top half teams: 5 W/D/L vs. (current) top half teams: 2/5/10 W/D/L vs. (current) bottom half teams: 5/1/9 Average Points Per Game for remaining teams: 1.41 vs. our 0.985 Did you get all that? It's looking pretty grim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulcityfan Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Very grim. With zero confidence around the team its been left too late this time I think. Such a waste Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FNQ Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 4 hours ago, PortisheadIsRed said: As posted in another thread: At this point in previous seasons in the Championship we were: 2015-16: 3 points ahead (finished 18th) 2012-13: 1 point ahead (finished... well) 2011-12: Same points (finished 20th) 2010-11: 10 points ahead (finished 15th) Remaining: Home (where we've won 71% of our points): 6 Away (where we've conceded at least one 94% of the time):4 Against (current) bottom half teams: 5 Against (current) top half teams: 5 W/D/L vs. (current) top half teams: 2/5/10 W/D/L vs. (current) bottom half teams: 5/1/9 Average Points Per Game for remaining teams: 1.41 vs. our 0.985 Did you get all that? It's looking pretty grim I think I got it.... and not that it will influence your numbers greatly... But we've got 11 games to go and not 10... out of interest, can you knock up a table and do the same calculations for Wigan, Burton and Wolves for comparison... or is it just about us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nagy Mahal Posted March 6, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 Can't edit OP for whatever reason but I've corrected myself added some extra info: Home (where we've won 71% of our points): 6 Away (where we've conceded at least one 94% of the time):5 Against (current) bottom half teams: 6 Against (current) top half teams: 5 Our Points Per Game (home) is 1.41, away is 0.56. This gives a projected points total of 8.46 and we would end the season on 42 points. Bearing in mind this includes the start of the season and using @Mr Popodopolous 's post on points required for survival, we're f****d Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nagy Mahal Posted March 6, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 6 hours ago, FNQ said: I think I got it.... and not that it will influence your numbers greatly... But we've got 11 games to go and not 10... out of interest, can you knock up a table and do the same calculations for Wigan, Burton and Wolves for comparison... or is it just about us? Will do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wanderingred Posted March 6, 2017 Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 I honestly cant see us winning another game with LJ in charge. He has sucked away the belief, the confidence and somehow even the ability of our players. We'll finish on around 40 points after picking up a few draws and finish second last. HOWEVER.. If SL acts today, I'm going to stick my neck out and say that we'll survive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nagy Mahal Posted March 6, 2017 Author Report Share Posted March 6, 2017 @FNQ Burton Blackburn Wolves Us Wigan Rotheram Current 19th (37) 20th (36) 21st (35) 22nd (34) 23rd (31) 24th (17) Form WLWDDD WDLDWW WLLLLL DLLDLD LWDLDL LDLLLL Remaining H:6 A:5 H:5 A:6 H:7 A:6 H:6 A:5 H:6 A:5 H:6 A:5 TH:6 BH:5 TH:6 BH:5 TH:6 BH:7 TH:6 BH:5 TH:5 BH:6 TH:6 BH:5 Points Per Game Home: 1.41 Away: 0.71 Total: 1.06 Last 11: 1.4 Home: 1.49 Away: 0.63 Total: 1.06 Last 11: 1.5 Home: 0.94 Away: 1.18 Total: 1.06 Last 13: 1.27 Home: 1.41 Away: 0.56 Total: 0.985 Last 11: 1.41 Home: 0.9 Away: 0.88 Total: 0.89 Last 11: 1.37 Home: 0.92 Away: 0.06 Total: 0.49 Last 11: 1.36 Predictions Points in last 11/13 games (rounded) 12 11 13 11 10 6 Final total 49 47 48 45 41 23 Final Position 19th 21st 20th 22nd 23rd 24th So not much will change. Blackburn have the hardest run-in and Wolves have 2 games in hand on them so they are likely to swap. Our last 11 are theoretically harder than Wigan's, but we are far enough ahead that we should stay above them (not that it matters) I think what will keep us down (other than Johnson) is the fact that Wolves' run-in is meant to be the easiest + they have the 2 games in hand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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