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Bookies view on next season


Jerseybean

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Championship odds 2023/24

Outright winner

  • Leicester City - 5/1
  • Leeds United - 11/2
  • Middlesbrough - 10/1
  • Southampton - 10/1
  • Ipswich Town - 14/1
  • Norwich City - 14/1
  • Watford - 14/1
  • West Brom - 14/1
  • Stoke City - 20/1
  • Sunderland - 20/1
  • Blackburn Rovers - 25/1
  • Coventry City - 25/1
  • Millwall - 25/1
  • Sheffield Wednesday - 25/1
  • Swansea City - 25/1
  • Hull City - 28/1
  • Birmingham City - 33/1
  • Cardiff City - 33/1
  • Bristol City - 40/1
  • Plymouth Argyle - 40/1
  • Preston North End - 40/1
  • QPR - 40/1
  • Huddersfield Town - 50/1
  • Rotherham United - 80/1
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At 40/1 we've got to be worth an each-way bet (although it depends if the price moves out when we eventually lose Scott and before we bring anyone else in), and 9/2 for the Play-offs covering the wager for both bets.

Simple.

And this is why I've made billions from gambling. Absolutely billions I tell ya. Never go wrong. Can't fail. Sure as eggs is eggs, this is a licence to print money.

*Looks down the back of the sofa for a few coins*

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1 hour ago, Jerseybean said:

Championship odds 2023/24

Outright winner

  • Leicester City - 5/1
  • Leeds United - 11/2
  • Middlesbrough - 10/1
  • Southampton - 10/1
  • Ipswich Town - 14/1
  • Norwich City - 14/1
  • Watford - 14/1
  • West Brom - 14/1
  • Stoke City - 20/1
  • Sunderland - 20/1
  • Blackburn Rovers - 25/1
  • Coventry City - 25/1
  • Millwall - 25/1
  • Sheffield Wednesday - 25/1
  • Swansea City - 25/1
  • Hull City - 28/1
  • Birmingham City - 33/1
  • Cardiff City - 33/1
  • Bristol City - 40/1
  • Plymouth Argyle - 40/1
  • Preston North End - 40/1
  • QPR - 40/1
  • Huddersfield Town - 50/1
  • Rotherham United - 80/1

Cardiff a better bet than us?

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25 minutes ago, ralphindevon said:

Not bothered by being that low with the bookies after all I don’t suppose Coventry or Luton were that high this time last year.

But below Cardiff and Birmingham??

Definitely top half for me. 

Coventry and Luton were both around 25/1 last season, around 8th in the betting.

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1 minute ago, phantom said:

Or more likely that there a more bets currently being placed on them

Apart from City fans I am not sure there would be anyone that would actually put money on us

The books wouldn't have taken hardly any bets yet (if any), Cardiff opened at the price they are due to the opinion of the bookies odds compilers, I doubt they've had a penny put on them yet. 

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34 minutes ago, ralphindevon said:

Not bothered by being that low with the bookies after all I don’t suppose Coventry or Luton were that high this time last year.

But below Cardiff and Birmingham??

Definitely top half for me. 

It’s always the way….probably get more bets on them that they do on us, and bookies are gonna offer less attractive odds for them than they will for us.

Undoubtedly Ipswich fans are doing “back early as the price will be lower going forwards” and they have a big fan base plus history.

 

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1 hour ago, Jerseybean said:

Championship odds 2023/24

Outright winner

  • Leicester City - 5/1
  • Leeds United - 11/2
  • Middlesbrough - 10/1
  • Southampton - 10/1
  • Ipswich Town - 14/1
  • Norwich City - 14/1
  • Watford - 14/1
  • West Brom - 14/1
  • Stoke City - 20/1
  • Sunderland - 20/1
  • Blackburn Rovers - 25/1
  • Coventry City - 25/1
  • Millwall - 25/1
  • Sheffield Wednesday - 25/1
  • Swansea City - 25/1
  • Hull City - 28/1
  • Birmingham City - 33/1
  • Cardiff City - 33/1
  • Bristol City - 40/1
  • Plymouth Argyle - 40/1
  • Preston North End - 40/1
  • QPR - 40/1
  • Huddersfield Town - 50/1
  • Rotherham United - 80/1

Same odds as Plymouth? ?

Hmm.... they really don't rate us do they?

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31 minutes ago, cotswoldred2 said:

They have a large home and away support, it doesn't surprise me their odds are short. I think our Ashton syndrome is muddying the waters, but I want them more than anyone else to be relegated.?

Genuinely do you think crowd size is factoring into the bookies odds?

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7 minutes ago, ExiledAjax said:

Genuinely do you think crowd size is factoring into the bookies odds?

At this stage, they've probably lumped the following in to the 'odds generator' toolset.

Last 12 games of last season

Players sold in the last window

Players signed in the last window and how effective they've been since

Players likely to be sold in the summer

Amount of money that a club could spend on new signings

Amount of money that has previously been wagered on any given side so they understand their potential liability

And then tweaked it a bit to try and make the odds look more appealing so that people like ourselves think.... 'Hmm, 40/1 - I like the sound of that as £20 would pay for my season ticket and some of my pre-match booze.... if we win the league' - before we part with our pocket money and never see a penny back. 

 

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3 hours ago, Jerseybean said:

Championship odds 2023/24

Outright winner

  • Leicester City - 5/1
  • Leeds United - 11/2
  • Middlesbrough - 10/1
  • Southampton - 10/1
  • Ipswich Town - 14/1
  • Norwich City - 14/1
  • Watford - 14/1
  • West Brom - 14/1
  • Stoke City - 20/1
  • Sunderland - 20/1
  • Blackburn Rovers - 25/1
  • Coventry City - 25/1
  • Millwall - 25/1
  • Sheffield Wednesday - 25/1
  • Swansea City - 25/1
  • Hull City - 28/1
  • Birmingham City - 33/1
  • Cardiff City - 33/1
  • Bristol City - 40/1
  • Plymouth Argyle - 40/1
  • Preston North End - 40/1
  • QPR - 40/1
  • Huddersfield Town - 50/1
  • Rotherham United - 80/1

I don’t normally look too much into these as they are always fairly inaccurate but some of the teams with shorter odds and are the same odds as us are absolutely laughable

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7 minutes ago, Charlie BCFC said:

I don’t normally look too much into these as they are always fairly inaccurate but some of the teams with shorter odds and are the same odds as us are absolutely laughable

Certainly the fact that Cardiff are in a state yet have better odds makes your point.

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Just now, chinapig said:

Certainly the fact that Cardiff are in a state yet have better odds makes your point.

Them and Birmingham who have a points deduction. Sheffield Wednesday don’t look that convincing, QPR and Plymouth are same odds as us.

Then you have Ipswich being 6th favourite which screams of (what promoted team is most likely to do a Sunderland?)

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9 minutes ago, chinapig said:

Certainly the fact that Cardiff are in a state yet have better odds makes your point.

100%.

3 managers last season, no one appointed yet & they only stayed up because of points deductions elsewhere. Morison signed something mad like 15 players last summer, then got sacked early on & nearly all of them are under contract for next season.

I understand why parachute payment sides are fancied more but this is utter horseshit, they are a shambles.
 

 

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