Rocking Red Cyril Posted February 2, 2023 Report Share Posted February 2, 2023 Where I would hope to see current form continue and maybe improve and the two new signings make an impact over the remaining games. Not being able to strengthen the defence does worry me a tad. My heart says 60. My head mid 50's. Looking forward to the run in anyway. COYR Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
City oz Posted February 3, 2023 Report Share Posted February 3, 2023 10 hours ago, redapple said: 66 69 is my favourite number Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedinSpain Posted February 3, 2023 Report Share Posted February 3, 2023 58 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hertsexile Posted February 3, 2023 Report Share Posted February 3, 2023 More than we have now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red-Robbo Posted February 3, 2023 Report Share Posted February 3, 2023 15 hours ago, ExiledAjax said: If we get 3 pens then playoffs are on! They'll all come in the Man City game though... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveF Posted February 3, 2023 Report Share Posted February 3, 2023 57. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jersey Bristolian Posted February 3, 2023 Report Share Posted February 3, 2023 59 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BS13 Robin Posted February 3, 2023 Report Share Posted February 3, 2023 53! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wanderingred Posted February 4, 2023 Report Share Posted February 4, 2023 On 03/02/2023 at 03:42, cidered abroad said: As I'm a lifelong pessimistic old sod, 54 points. I think that’s pretty realistic. 5 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malago Posted February 4, 2023 Report Share Posted February 4, 2023 PNE D Norwich D Wigan W Sunderland D Hull W Cardiff W Huddersfield W Blackpool W Luton L Swansea D Reading W Stoke L Boro D Watford L Sheff U L Rotherham W Burnley L QPR D Total 27 points which takes our final total to 60 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jerseybean Posted May 8, 2023 Author Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 On 02/02/2023 at 19:53, And Its Smith said: Extrapolate our current points across the whole season and we finish on 54 points. Take our form over the last 5 games and apply to the rest of the season we finish on 55 points. If we could get between 58-60 points that would mean we would achieved around 1.4 points per game from here on in, which is 67 points across a whole season. 59 points for the season from here is a reasonable expectation which would give strong hope going into next season Well played 59 it was! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jerseybean Posted May 8, 2023 Author Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 On 02/02/2023 at 20:19, cityexile said: Well, 59 then. And 3 pens in that time. The 59 bit was correct 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jerseybean Posted May 8, 2023 Author Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 On 03/02/2023 at 12:26, Jersey Bristolian said: 59 Well played JB 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spudski Posted May 8, 2023 Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 15 points from relegation. 32 points from Promotion. Still a long way to go. This season was their for the taking, more so than others. I feel Sheff Utd must feel they've lucked out. Everything fell in place. For us...it didn't. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ExiledAjax Posted May 8, 2023 Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 On 02/02/2023 at 18:54, ExiledAjax said: 56. Assuming we improve our points per game by 10% then I land on 56. 33 + ((1.17*18)*1.1) = 56 Close. 60 was always a hard ask. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lenred Posted May 8, 2023 Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 1 minute ago, spudski said: 15 points from relegation. 32 points from Promotion. Still a long way to go. This season was their for the taking, more so than others. I feel Sheff Utd must feel they've lucked out. Everything fell in place. For us...it didn't. Wow. What a negative post. Given the overhaul of the team and what he has had to work with I think Nige and the team have done a really superb job, especially where we were around Christmas time. Also bringing on young players and nurturing complete gems that have and will earn us a lot of money which has been imperative given our financial position. I’m looking forward to next season with a lot of optimism. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrahamC Posted May 8, 2023 Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 (edited) 8 minutes ago, spudski said: 15 points from relegation. 32 points from Promotion. Still a long way to go. This season was their for the taking, more so than others. I feel Sheff Utd must feel they've lucked out. Everything fell in place. For us...it didn't. Technically we were potentially 10 points from promotion as a side made the playoffs with 69. To get automatic promotion as a non parachute payment club is almost impossible. Edited May 8, 2023 by GrahamC 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swan and Cemetery Posted May 8, 2023 Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 3 minutes ago, lenred said: Wow. What a negative post. Given the overhaul of the team and what he has had to work with I think Nige and the team have done a really superb job, especially where we were around Christmas time. Also bringing on young players and nurturing complete gems that have and will earn us a lot of money which has been imperative given our financial position. I’m looking forward to next season with a lot of optimism. And only 10 points from a chance of promotion vs 15 points above definite relegation. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Red Posted May 8, 2023 Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 (edited) Also worth noting that 45 points was enough to achieve safety (Reading went down in 22nd with 44). We reached that mark on 7th March with the draw at Huddersfield. Edited May 8, 2023 by Northern Red 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spudski Posted May 8, 2023 Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 15 minutes ago, lenred said: Wow. What a negative post. Given the overhaul of the team and what he has had to work with I think Nige and the team have done a really superb job, especially where we were around Christmas time. Also bringing on young players and nurturing complete gems that have and will earn us a lot of money which has been imperative given our financial position. I’m looking forward to next season with a lot of optimism. Not negative at all. It's facts. I think we've done fantastic this year. I've loved every minute of it. Just pointing out that if things had fallen into place and a bit of luck, we, and others could have been Sheff Utd. Apart from Burnley...there wasn't much difference with a lot of teams. Sheff Utd had the dream season imo. 11 minutes ago, GrahamC said: Technically we were potentially 10 points from promotion as a side made the playoffs with 69. To get automatic promotion as a non parachute payment club is almost impossible. I agree...however imo, it's a negative in moving forward, if ' progress' long term is considered 6th. You have to aim top 2. If you aim for 6th, you'll likely fall short. Aim for top 2...you may end up in the play off lottery. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrahamC Posted May 8, 2023 Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 12 minutes ago, spudski said: I agree...however imo, it's a negative in moving forward, if ' progress' long term is considered 6th. You have to aim top 2. If you aim for 6th, you'll likely fall short. Aim for top 2...you may end up in the play off lottery. Just think it’s realistic. Can’t remember the last time a side got automatic promotion that didn’t have parachute payments. Aiming for 2nd is lovely but completely misguided, in my view. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spudski Posted May 8, 2023 Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 1 minute ago, GrahamC said: Just think it’s realistic. Can’t remember the last time a side got automatic promotion that didn’t have parachute payments. Aiming for 2nd is lovely but completely misguided, in my view. Put it this way... Blackburn finished on 69 points...the same as 6th place. They missed out on GD. We scored more than them, and only conceded 2 more than them. We lost the same amount of games. That's how close it is to 6th. Aiming for the play offs is imo the worst thing you can do. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Davefevs Posted May 8, 2023 Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 48 minutes ago, GrahamC said: Just think it’s realistic. Can’t remember the last time a side got automatic promotion that didn’t have parachute payments. Aiming for 2nd is lovely but completely misguided, in my view. Brentford, then Leeds the season before. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrahamC Posted May 8, 2023 Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 9 minutes ago, Davefevs said: Brentford, then Leeds the season before. Brentford went up via the playoffs, didn’t they? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ExiledAjax Posted May 8, 2023 Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 53 minutes ago, spudski said: Put it this way... Blackburn finished on 69 points...the same as 6th place. They missed out on GD. We scored more than them, and only conceded 2 more than them. We lost the same amount of games. That's how close it is to 6th. Aiming for the play offs is imo the worst thing you can do. Blackburn are a poor example and are far from a team to emulate.. They're in a completely false position this season. Thank god they didn't get into the playoffs, would have been a complete injustice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spudski Posted May 8, 2023 Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 1 minute ago, ExiledAjax said: Blackburn are a poor example and are far from a team to emulate.. They're in a completely false position this season. Thank god they didn't get into the playoffs, would have been a complete injustice. That's my point. I'm saying we aren't far off Blackburn. In your own words...' far from a team to emulate'...yet they made the play offs. It would be seen as a good season if we had emulated. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bearded_red Posted May 8, 2023 Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 3 minutes ago, spudski said: That's my point. I'm saying we aren't far off Blackburn. In your own words...' far from a team to emulate'...yet they made the play offs. No they didn’t. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ExiledAjax Posted May 8, 2023 Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 (edited) 5 minutes ago, spudski said: That's my point. I'm saying we aren't far off Blackburn. In your own words...' far from a team to emulate'...yet they made the play offs. It would be seen as a good season if we had emulated. Incorrectly seen as a good season. It would be a lucky season that papered over cracks in the foundations. They finished 7th. Edited May 8, 2023 by ExiledAjax Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spudski Posted May 8, 2023 Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 2 minutes ago, bearded_red said: No they didn’t. Correct..7th...same points. GD. 2 minutes ago, ExiledAjax said: Incorrectly seen as a good season. It would be a lucky season that papered over cracks in the foundations. They finished 7th. Yes my error...as I pointed out I'm my original post, missed out on GD. Massively missing my point though. To be considered potential promotion candidates we need to aim for top 2. If we had done a ' Blackburn'...it would given us a false idea of where we are at. That's my point about play off places...it gives a false bench mark. The play off place teams aren't far off us...mid table. It gives false hope points wise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Davefevs Posted May 8, 2023 Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 32 minutes ago, GrahamC said: Brentford went up via the playoffs, didn’t they? You’re right, sorry. Season before, Leeds. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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