WarksRobin
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Posts posted by WarksRobin
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7 minutes ago, ExiledAjax said:
It's a good game. They're good, but we look good as well today. We've created a few dangerous chances.
4 minutes ago, Andy082005 said:Two extremely poor sides so far. Really has been poor
A game of opinions
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43 minutes ago, Vidal said:
I think it’s a very fair price too.
Gary, is that you?
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2 hours ago, PHILINFRANCE said:
Sit Clarior, Sit Dignior,
Quotquot....
Sumus Bristolienses
Quotquot
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9 hours ago, SecretSam said:
Apart from massively reduce the wage bill, organise the Ashton Gate 8 celebration, bring a calmness to the back of house stuff, etc? Nah, nothing.
BGS 1980-1987
Ex Spinas Uvas
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Unless it includes the bid for Towler
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14 minutes ago, Mr Popodopolous said:
Burnley reportedly bid £2.5m.
Was rejected but what does that say if anything about Semenyo and a realistic asking price?
It says Burnley are tight northern misers
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They’ve agreed personal terms already? Cheeky
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13 minutes ago, Davefevs said:
Me and MrP will differ here. Here’s my stab…lots of caveats though!
As it stands I think with the forecast spend for the rest of the season we are just inside FFP boundaries (with covid allowances of an unknown amount spread over the 3 impacted seasons). So, if we did nothing in this window we’d just about be okay. That’s my starting point.
This is where it gets a bit more complicated, or rather than complicated, you have to understand what happens to the cost of a signing when they sign and the period of their contract.
Let’s say we get £20m and assume we owe Guernsey Sweet FA. That’s £20m transfer profit in this year’s accounts. That means we are now £20m inside the FFP Limits for the cycle ending summer 2023. It also means that the cycle ending next season (summer 2024) we are miles inside too.
We could go out and buy a £15m player on a 6 month deal and pay them £200k p.w for the rest of this season. That would eat up the £20m in 6 months and leave us inside FFP still.
But what we would more sensibly do is:
- get in a few really strong loans at say £20k p.w. each / loan fee £0.5m. Would cost us £3m. Whilst we sit on the rest of the money until the summer, keeping our powder dry until we know for sure we are still in this division.
- buy a few players, say 3 x £3.5m on £15k p.w. On 3.5 Yr deals. Costs of £0.375m wages each and £0.5m each in amortisation this season. £2.625m in total this season, but the next 3 years we’d be committed to £0.75m wages x 3 and £1m amortisation x 3…total £5.25m. Over the 3.5 yrs those 3 would cost us circa £18m
- or bit of a mix of the above
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This is why I chuckle a bit when someone says “if we sell Scott for £20m he can spend half of it” (or whatever). It just doesn’t work like Football Manager led you to believe it did in their game 15 years ago! It’s all about looking at the total cost of players against projected incomes and budgets over a 3-5 year plan / forecast.
I have some basic spreadsheets that attempt (poorly) to look at the player costs over a period of time. The football club will have much more complex stuff and ability to do “what-if” scenarios.
So the real answer is - somewhere between some of it and all of it!
Hope the above helps?
I think we could spend 10% of what we receive for players this window and need to book the remaining profit. If we get it right, it puts us in a much stronger FFP position for the next couple of years.
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It’s a statistical anomaly
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Boris Johnson erased from Grant Shapps spaceport picture - BBC News
I don't know what's more funny - that they're literally erasing Boris, or that Shapps thought he would get away with it
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All insured apparently
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Heroic failure - what we do best
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3 minutes ago, Engvall’s Splinter said:
Looked a pen.
No chainsaw, no penalty
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Cov-Wrex sounds like a pharmaceutical trademark
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Spoiler - Scott is No1 in the list
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Rovers ahead
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Missed pre-season, made few starts before the World Cup and little time on th pitch in Qatar. Give the lad a break, he needs playing time.
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IMO it just demonstrates that the pressure is on, and that NP has been told results must improve quickly.
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Craig Shakespeare too
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Just now, JBFC II said:
Can’t argue with that, I would argue that 2 and a half years on one would hope we’d be seeing some slightly improved performances on the pitch now.
Johnson and Ashtons legacy isn’t strong enough now to be used as an excuse imo, it’s getting to the stage where the blame lies more on Pearsons shoulders than it does on his predecessors
It isn’t Pearson’s fault we have no money to strengthen
It is his fault that we have players out of position, or benched when we need them to play, or that the quality on the pitch is deteriorating rapidly
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Just now, Malvern Red said:
Something needs to happen now in the window
Or out the window
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Even the Sky commentator is laying into us now
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Just now, Banjo Red said:
Pull the plug it's not working, we tried it his way with what we have and the signings haven't been that great either.
He refuses to play his own signings
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If we’re going to change manager, now’s the time. Give the new one the transfer window to do something
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Dan Bentley to Wolves - Confirmed
in Football Chat
Posted
Pretty much guarantees a red card or injury to Max this weekend if this goes through