mattjtsmith Posted April 16, 2017 Author Report Share Posted April 16, 2017 UPDATE - Sorry, been away. Getting to the crunch now, yet still so many teams involved. Some huge games on Monday! Current Survival Table - 15. Ipswich - 52 (42) gd -7 16. Wolves - 51 (42) gd -3 17. QPR - 50 (42) gd -9 18. Bristol City - 47 (42) gd -7 19. Birmingham - 47 (42) gd -19 20. Notts Forest - 45 (42) GD -11 21. Burton - 45 (42) GD -15 ------------------------------------------- 22. Blackburn - 43 (42) gd - 15 23. Wigan Athletic - 40 (42) gd -15 24. Rotherham - 18 (42) gd -58 Potential Points Score - 15. Ipswich - 64 16. Wolves - 66 17. QPR - 62 18. Bristol City - 59 19. Birmingham - 59 20. Notts Forest - 57 21. Burton - 57 ------------------------------------------- 22. Blackburn - 55 23. Wigan Athletic - 52 24. Rotherham - 30 Therefore as it stands ; 93 = Guaranteed Promotion Brighton = 4/12 needed Newcastle = 8/12 needed Huddersfield = Relying on 5 points dropped Reading = Relying on 9 points dropped + huge goal difference swing. 82 = Guaranteed Playoff Berth Newcastle + Brighton guaranteed Huddersfield = 5/15 needed Reading = 6/12 needed Leeds = 9/12 needed Sheff Weds = 10/12 needed Fulham = Relying on 2 points dropped 56 = Guaranteed Safety Ipswich = 4/12 points needed Wolves = 5/15 points needed QPR = 6/12 points needed Bristol City = 9/12 points needed Birmingham = 9/12 points needed Notts Forest = 11/12 points needed Burton = 11/12 points needed Blackburn = Relying upon others. Wigan = Relying upon others. Fixtures - Monday 17th April - Birmingham vs Burton; Blackburn vs City; Brighton vs Wigan; Cardiff vs Forest; Ipswich vs Newcastle; Leeds vs Wolves Saturday 22nd April - City vs Barnsley; Burton vs Leeds; Forest vs Reading; Rotherham vs Ipswich; Wigan vs Cardiff; Wolves vs Blackburn Sunday 23rd April - Villa vs Birmingham Tuesday 25th April - Wolves vs Huddersfield Saturday 29th April - Barnsley vs Burton; Birmingham vs Huddersfield; Blackburn vs Villa; Brighton vs City; Derby vs Wolves; Ipswich vs Sheff Weds; QPR vs Forest; Reading vs Wigan Sunday 7th May - Brentford vs Blackburn; City vs Birmingham; Burton vs Reading; Forest vs Ipswich; Wigan vs Leeds; Wolves vs PNE "Real Championship Table" - Based over 5 years on the points the points required; Points needed to be Champions Average = 90 points Promotion Average = 85.4 points Play Off Average = 71.8 points Relegation Survival Average = 44.8points 102 - Champions 2014 101 - 100 - 99 - 98 - 97 - 96 - 95 - 94 - 93 - Promotion 2014, Champions 2016; CURRENT PROMOTION 2017 92 - 91 - 90 - Champions 2015 89 - Champions 2012, Promotion 2015, Promotion 2016, Brighton (42) GD +36 88 - Promotion 2012 87 - Champions 2013 86 - 85 - Newcastle (42) GD +38 84 - 83 - CURRENT PLAYOFFS 2017 82 - 81 - 80 - 79 - Promotion 2013 78 - Play Offs 2015 77 - Huddersfield (41) 76 - Reading (42) 75 - Play Offs 2012 74 - Play Offs 2016 73 - Leeds (42) 72 - Play Offs 2014; Sheffield Wednesday (42) 71 - 70 - Fulham (42) 69 - 68 - Play Offs 2013 67 - 66 - 65 - 64 - 63 - 62 - Derby (42) 61 - Preston (42) 60 - Norwich (42) 59 - Brentford (42) 58 - Villa (42) 57 - 56 - Barnsley (42); CURRENT SAFETY 2017 55 - Safety 2013; Cardiff (42) 54 - 53 - 52 - Ipswich (42) 51 - Wolves (41) 50 - QPR (42) 49 - Safety 2016 48 - Safety 2012 47 - Birmingham (38) GD -19; City (38) GD -7 46 - Safety 2015 45 - Forest (42) GD -11; Burton (42) GD -15 44 - Safety 2014 43 - Blackburn (42) 42 - 41 - 40 - WIgan (38) 18 - Rotherham (42) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Major Isewater Posted April 16, 2017 Report Share Posted April 16, 2017 12 minutes ago, mattjtsmith said: UPDATE - Sorry, been away. Getting to the crunch now, yet still so many teams involved. Some huge games on Monday! Current Survival Table - 15. Ipswich - 52 (42) gd -7 16. Wolves - 51 (42) gd -3 17. QPR - 50 (42) gd -9 18. Bristol City - 47 (42) gd -7 19. Birmingham - 47 (42) gd -19 20. Notts Forest - 45 (42) GD -11 21. Burton - 45 (42) GD -15 ------------------------------------------- 22. Blackburn - 43 (42) gd - 15 23. Wigan Athletic - 40 (42) gd -15 24. Rotherham - 18 (42) gd -58 Potential Points Score - 15. Ipswich - 64 16. Wolves - 66 17. QPR - 62 18. Bristol City - 59 19. Birmingham - 59 20. Notts Forest - 57 21. Burton - 57 ------------------------------------------- 22. Blackburn - 55 23. Wigan Athletic - 52 24. Rotherham - 30 Therefore as it stands ; 93 = Guaranteed Promotion Brighton = 4/12 needed Newcastle = 8/12 needed Huddersfield = Relying on 5 points dropped Reading = Relying on 9 points dropped + huge goal difference swing. 82 = Guaranteed Playoff Berth Newcastle + Brighton guaranteed Huddersfield = 5/15 needed Reading = 6/12 needed Leeds = 9/12 needed Sheff Weds = 10/12 needed Fulham = Relying on 2 points dropped 56 = Guaranteed Safety Ipswich = 4/12 points needed Wolves = 5/15 points needed QPR = 6/12 points needed Bristol City = 9/12 points needed Birmingham = 9/12 points needed Notts Forest = 11/12 points needed Burton = 11/12 points needed Blackburn = Relying upon others. Wigan = Relying upon others. Fixtures - Monday 17th April - Birmingham vs Burton; Blackburn vs City; Brighton vs Wigan; Cardiff vs Forest; Ipswich vs Newcastle; Leeds vs Wolves Saturday 22nd April - City vs Barnsley; Burton vs Leeds; Forest vs Reading; Rotherham vs Ipswich; Wigan vs Cardiff; Wolves vs Blackburn Sunday 23rd April - Villa vs Birmingham Tuesday 25th April - Wolves vs Huddersfield Saturday 29th April - Barnsley vs Burton; Birmingham vs Huddersfield; Blackburn vs Villa; Brighton vs City; Derby vs Wolves; Ipswich vs Sheff Weds; QPR vs Forest; Reading vs Wigan Sunday 7th May - Brentford vs Blackburn; City vs Birmingham; Burton vs Reading; Forest vs Ipswich; Wigan vs Leeds; Wolves vs PNE "Real Championship Table" - Based over 5 years on the points the points required; Points needed to be Champions Average = 90 points Promotion Average = 85.4 points Play Off Average = 71.8 points Relegation Survival Average = 44.8points 102 - Champions 2014 101 - 100 - 99 - 98 - 97 - 96 - 95 - 94 - 93 - Promotion 2014, Champions 2016; CURRENT PROMOTION 2017 92 - 91 - 90 - Champions 2015 89 - Champions 2012, Promotion 2015, Promotion 2016, Brighton (42) GD +36 88 - Promotion 2012 87 - Champions 2013 86 - 85 - Newcastle (42) GD +38 84 - 83 - CURRENT PLAYOFFS 2017 82 - 81 - 80 - 79 - Promotion 2013 78 - Play Offs 2015 77 - Huddersfield (41) 76 - Reading (42) 75 - Play Offs 2012 74 - Play Offs 2016 73 - Leeds (42) 72 - Play Offs 2014; Sheffield Wednesday (42) 71 - 70 - Fulham (42) 69 - 68 - Play Offs 2013 67 - 66 - 65 - 64 - 63 - 62 - Derby (42) 61 - Preston (42) 60 - Norwich (42) 59 - Brentford (42) 58 - Villa (42) 57 - 56 - Barnsley (42); CURRENT SAFETY 2017 55 - Safety 2013; Cardiff (42) 54 - 53 - 52 - Ipswich (42) 51 - Wolves (41) 50 - QPR (42) 49 - Safety 2016 48 - Safety 2012 47 - Birmingham (38) GD -19; City (38) GD -7 46 - Safety 2015 45 - Forest (42) GD -11; Burton (42) GD -15 44 - Safety 2014 43 - Blackburn (42) 42 - 41 - 40 - WIgan (38) 18 - Rotherham (42) Many thanks , top work . Especially kind What with you being a ' R's ' fan an all . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Septic Peg Posted April 16, 2017 Report Share Posted April 16, 2017 Great work @mattjtsmith. Gonna tag a few mods/admins to get this pinned alongside @phantom's... @RedM @WesM @Dollymarie @Big Red Rich @Ian M @Tomarse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cityexile Posted April 16, 2017 Report Share Posted April 16, 2017 Great job, can spend hours looking at these kind of things. The OCD in me just has to point out however, that Blackburn are not technically reliant on others just yet. If they win their four games, they must be safe. It will take them to 55 points. We can then only beat that by winning our other three, which will take us to 56. Birmingham, having lost to us in that scenario, must then win their other three to get to 56. They can only do that by beating Burton, which would then mean their maximum is 54. I know it is pretty much impossible to take anything but a straight points view on these things, ignoring these types of who plays who situations, but as we play Blackburn next, just thougt it worth mentioning their fans know it is still in their own hands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattjtsmith Posted April 17, 2017 Author Report Share Posted April 17, 2017 UPDATE - Happy with a point today! One game closer. I have removed Ipswich and Wolves since they both achieved mathematical safety today. Current Survival Table - 17. QPR - 50 (43) gd -10 18. Bristol City - 48 (43) gd -7 19. Burton - 48 (43) gd -13 20. Birmingham - 47 (43) GD -21 21. Notts Forest - 45 (43) GD -12 ------------------------------------------- 22. Blackburn - 44 (43) gd -15 23. Wigan Athletic - 40 (43) gd -16 24. Rotherham - 18 (43) gd -59 Potential Points Score - 17. QPR - 59 18. Bristol City - 57 19. Burton - 57 20. Birmingham - 56 21. Notts Forest - 57 ------------------------------------------- 22. Blackburn - 53 23. Wigan Athletic - 49 24. Rotherham - 27 Therefore as it stands ; 95 = Guaranteed Champions Brighton = 3/9 needed Newcastle = Relying on 7/9 points dropped 91 = Guaranteed Promotion Brighton = Promoted! Newcastle = 6/9 needed Huddersfield = Relying on 4/9 points dropped + huge gd swing Reading = Relying on 6/9 points dropped + huge goal difference swing. 83 = Guaranteed Playoff Berth Newcastle + Brighton guaranteed Reading = 4/9 needed Huddersfield = 5/12 needed Sheff Weds = 8/9 needed Fulham = 9/9 plus superior goal difference required Leeds = 9/9 plus superior goal difference required 54 = Guaranteed Safety Ipswich = safe! Wolves = safe! QPR = 4/9 points needed Bristol City = 6/9 points needed Burton = 6/9 points needed Birmingham = 7/9 points needed Notts Forest = 9/9 points needed Blackburn = Relying upon others to drop any points Wigan = Relying upon others to drop 5+ points Fixtures - Saturday 22nd April - City vs Barnsley; Burton vs Leeds; Forest vs Reading; Rotherham vs Ipswich; Wigan vs Cardiff; Wolves vs Blackburn Sunday 23rd April - Villa vs Birmingham Saturday 29th April - Barnsley vs Burton; Birmingham vs Huddersfield; Blackburn vs Villa; Brighton vs City; QPR vs Forest; Reading vs Wigan Sunday 7th May - Brentford vs Blackburn; City vs Birmingham; Burton vs Reading; Forest vs Ipswich; Wigan vs Leeds; "Real Championship Table" - Based over 5 years on the points the points required; Points needed to be Champions Average = 90 points Promotion Average = 85.4 points Play Off Average = 71.8 points Relegation Survival Average = 44.8points 102 - Champions 2014 101 - 100 - 99 - 98 - 97 - 96 - 95 - GUARANTEED CHAMPIONS 2017 94 - 93 - Promotion 2014, Champions 2016; 92 - Brighton (43) GD +37 91 - CURRENT PROMOTION 2017 90 - Champions 2015 89 - Champions 2012, Promotion 2015, Promotion 2016, 88 - Promotion 2012 87 - Champions 2013 86 - 85 - Newcastle (43) GD +37 84 - 83 - CURRENT GUARANTEED PLAYOFFS 2017 82 - 81 - 80 - 79 - Promotion 2013; Reading (43) 78 - Play Offs 2015; Huddersfield (42) 77 - 76 - 75 - Play Offs 2012; Sheffield Wednesday (43) 74 - Play Offs 2016 73 - Fulham (43) GD +24; Leeds (43) GD +15 72 - Play Offs 2014; 71 - 70 - 69 - 68 - Play Offs 2013 67 - 66 - 65 - 64 - 63 - Norwich (43) GD +10; Derby (43) GD +3 62 - 61 - Preston (43) 60 - Brentford (43) 59 - 58 - Villa (43) GD -1; Cardiff (43) GD -2 57 - Barnsley (43) 56 - 55 - Safety 2013; Ipswich (43) 54 - CURRENT GUARANTEED SAFETY 2017; Wolves (42) 53 - 52 - 51 - 50 - QPR (43) 49 - Safety 2016 48 - Safety 2012; City (43) GD -7; Burton (43) GD -13 47 - Birmingham (43) GD -21 46 - Safety 2015 45 - Forest (43) GD -12 44 - Safety 2014; Blackburn (43) GD -15 43 - 42 - 41 - 40 - WIgan (43) GD -16 18 - Rotherham (43) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattjtsmith Posted April 23, 2017 Author Report Share Posted April 23, 2017 UPDATE 23/04/2017 - Emotionally draining game yesterday! Won't forget that one in a hurry (maybe the first half a little though). Current Survival Table - 17. Bristol City - 51 (44) gd -6 18. Burton - 51 (44) gd -12 19. QPR - 50 (44) gd -12 20. Notts Forest - 48 (44) GD -11 21. Birmingham - 47 (44) GD -22 ------------------------------------------- 22. Blackburn - 44 (43) gd -15 23. Wigan Athletic - 41 (44) gd -16 24. Rotherham - 21 (44) gd -58 Potential Points Score - 17. Bristol City - 57 18. Burton - 57 19. QPR - 56 20. Notts Forest - 54 21. Birmingham - 53 ------------------------------------------- 22. Blackburn - 51 23. Wigan Athletic - 47 24. Rotherham - 27 Therefore as it stands ; 95 = Guaranteed Champions Brighton = 3/6 needed Newcastle = Relying on 4/6 points dropped 88 = Guaranteed Promotion Brighton = Promoted! Newcastle = 3/9 needed Huddersfield = Relying on 7/9 points dropped + 35 goal difference swing Reading = Relying on 9/9 points dropped + 37 goal difference swing. 80 = Guaranteed Playoff Berth Newcastle + Brighton guaranteed Reading = 1/6 needed Sheff Weds = 2/6 needed Huddersfield = 2/9 needed Fulham = 4/9 (though 3 would do it due to +13 goal difference) Leeds = Need Fulham to drop 4/6 points 52 = Guaranteed Safety Bristol City = 1/6 points needed Burton = 1/6 points needed QPR = 2/6 points needed Notts Forest = 4/6 points needed Birmingham = 5/6 points needed Blackburn = Relying upon 6/9 or 3/6 points dropped Wigan = Would now need Birmingham to drop 9/9 points and win both fixtures. Fixtures - Saturday 29th April - Barnsley vs Burton; Birmingham vs Huddersfield; Blackburn vs Villa; Brighton vs City; QPR vs Forest; Reading vs Wigan Sunday 7th May - Brentford vs Blackburn; City vs Birmingham; Burton vs Reading; Forest vs Ipswich; Wigan vs Leeds; "Real Championship Table" - Based over 5 years on the points the points required; Points needed to be Champions Average = 90 points Promotion Average = 85.4 points Play Off Average = 71.8 points Relegation Survival Average = 44.8points 102 - Champions 2014 101 - 100 - 99 - 98 - 97 - 96 - 95 - GUARANTEED CHAMPIONS 2017 94 - 93 - Promotion 2014, Champions 2016; 92 - Brighton (44) GD +35 91 - 90 - Champions 2015 89 - Champions 2012, Promotion 2015, Promotion 2016, 88 - Promotion 2012; CURRENT PROMOTION 2017 87 - Champions 2013 86 - 85 - Newcastle (43) GD +37 84 - 83 - 82 - 81 - 80 - CURRENT GUARANTEED PLAYOFFS 2017 79 - Promotion 2013; Reading (44) 78 - Play Offs 2015; Sheffield Wednesday (44) +15; Huddersfield (43) +2 77 - 76 - Fulham (44) +27 75 - Play Offs 2012; 74 - Play Offs 2016 73 - Leeds (44) GD +14 72 - Play Offs 2014; 71 - 70 - 69 - 68 - Play Offs 2013 67 - 66 - Norwich (44) GD +12 65 - 64 - 63 - Brentford (44) +12; Derby (44) GD +2 62 - 61 - Preston (44) GD +5; Villa (44) GD 0 60 - 59 - Cardiff (44) GD -2 58 - 57 - Barnsley (44) 56 - 55 - Safety 2013; Ipswich (44) -6; Wolves (43) -2 54 - 53 - 52 - CURRENT GUARANTEED SAFETY 2017; 51 - City (44) GD -6; Burton (44) GD -12 50 - QPR (44) -12 49 - Safety 2016 48 - Safety 2012; Forest (44) GD -11 47 - Birmingham (44) GD -22 46 - Safety 2015 45 - Blackburn (44) GD -15 44 - Safety 2014; 43 - 42 - 41 - WIgan (44) GD -16 21 - Rotherham (43) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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